zbyforgotpass
Joined 5 years ago
Joined 5 years ago
I also vibed a brainstorming note with my knowledge base system. The initial prompt: """when I read "We replaced RAG with a virtual filesystem for our AI documentation assistant (mintlify.com)" title on HackerNews - the discussion is about RAG, filesystems, databases, graphs - but maybe there is something more fundamental in how we structure the systems so that the LLM can find the information needed to answer a question. Maybe there is nothing new - people had elaborate systems in libraries even before computers - but maybe there is something. Semantic search sounds useful - but knowing which page to return might be nearly as difficult as answering the question itself - and what about questions that require synthesis from many pages? Then we have distillation - an table of content is a kind of distillation targeting the task of search. """ Then I added a few more comments and the llm linked the note with the other pages in my kb. I am documenting that - because there were many voices against posting LLM generated content and that a prompt will be enough. IMHO the prompt is not enough - because the thought was also grounded in the whole theory I gathered in the KB. And that is also kind of on topic here. Anyway - here is the vibed note: https://zby.github.io/commonplace/notes/charting-the-knowled...
Files are practical now - but I think we should more analyze this from first principles. Here is my attempt at that: https://zby.github.io/commonplace/notes/a-good-agentic-kb-ma... (just entry point - the whole kb is about this).
If 10-year Treasury notes yield 5%, for example, and you want at least a 3% equity risk premium, then you’ll only invest in a stock if you think you can get an 8% annualized return or higher. However, if 10-year Treasury yields are 1.5%, and you still want a 3% risk premium, then you’re willing to pay a higher valuation, and thus accept a lower dividend yield and lower expected returns from stocks; even 4.5% expected annualized returns would be better than a 1.5% Treasury yield.
"""
That is from the article. But it only works if US assets are the only game in town.
Reinforcement in raised rates => depression and stock market crash => investors stop using US equities and real estate as value store.
And Feds needs to raise rates - because of negative effective funds rate (https://www.lynalden.com/wp-content/uploads/newsletter-2022-...) - this is also something that people might not perceive for a long time - but then suddenly see it.
This can stop in a rapid phase shift once people realize that USD is not such a safe asset any more. Gold bugs have been wrong for 50 years about that and nobody believes this any more - but actually 50 years is not that long for a world wide buffer to fill up. And this time is really different than 1980 because of higher US debt, smaller economy.
The US debt will at some point become too big and Feds will not be able to defend USD (higher rates means more money goes into debt financing - and if the world stops buying that debt it goes into a self reinforcing loop)..
"""The lambda calculus was introduced by mathematician Alonzo Church in the 1930s as part of an investigation into the foundations of mathematics.[7][a] The original system was shown to be logically inconsistent in 1935 when Stephen Kleene and J. B. Rosser developed the Kleene–Rosser paradox.[8][9]""" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lambda_calculus#History
This list is also part of my own contender in this race: https://zby.github.io/commonplace/ - my own LLM operated knowledge base (this is the html rendering of that KB - there is also the github repo linked there).
The main feature is that I use it to build a theory about such systems - and the neat trick is that llms can read this theory and implement it so the very theory works as an LLM runtime too.
It works for me - but it has some rough edges still - so I guess it is not for everyone.