yufeng66

Phi-2 basically demonstrated that you don't need a very large model to figure out language. It not very smart but speaks perfect English. it's not obvious the best way to gain IQ is to have a larger language model. some other structure might be needed.

I stopped using google map to navigate while driving due to the low contrast issue. I used to be able to scan the map and figure out which fork I should take. with the current google map, I have to stare at it for a fraction of a second to be sure. Now I use Apple map and works much better for me.

A hypothetical conversation by chatGPT

Stephen Wolfram (SW): Hello, Donald. Have you heard about OpenAI's language model, ChatGPT?

Donald Knuth (DK): I've come across some mentions, yes. AI has certainly come a long way since the Turing Test.

SW: Indeed. What's interesting is that it's less about designing an algorithm and more about generating one from massive amounts of data. It's quite aligned with my principle of computational irreducibility.

DK: In a sense, yes. Yet the allure of crafting an elegant algorithm, one that you can describe and understand fully, is something I still hold dear. The idea of a "black box" AI that we cannot comprehend is a bit disconcerting to me.

SW: That's a fair point. But sometimes the rules generated by the computational universe can create incredibly complex, yet coherent, behavior from simple inputs. Much like in cellular automata.

DK: It's interesting to think of it in that way. However, my perspective is more aligned with understanding and breaking down complexity. AI, in its current form, seems more about handling and even generating complexity.

SW: True, but even these complex systems are derived from rules and patterns, whether we can see them easily or not. It's a different kind of exploration into the computational universe.

DK: It certainly raises interesting questions for the future of computer science and AI. Whether it's rule-based systems or neural networks trained on vast data, we're still exploring the boundaries of what machines can do.

SW: Indeed. And ChatGPT, as it stands, is an intriguing example of that exploration. It's fascinating to see how this field evolves.

DK: Absolutely. There's always something new to learn.

Hudson's bay company is incorporated by English Royal charter in 1670. By definition it is a department store affiliated with the English king :)

Initially, I didn't see much value in the metaverse due to the high barrier to entry for end users and the limited network effect. However, I am bullish now. With the advancement of technologies like GPT-4 and Stable Diffusion, there is potential for more interesting NPCs in the metaverse. Additionally, Virtual Reality (VR) could serve as a superior user interface for these technologies compared to text-based interfaces like chatGPT. This could enable the metaverse to scale without solely relying on the network effect, as engaging NPCs and VR experiences can provide value to users even in the early stages of development, and continue to evolve and expand as technology progresses.

I can see how this end. Musk decided to do more experiments on monkeys. Soon monkey + chip become smarter than human. And human cease to exist shortly after.

I have been in finance industry for more than 20 years. People have been talking about replacing USD as reserve currency for as long as I can remember. The problem is nothing else is better. EUR? JPY? GBP? CNY? Gold? All of them have more issues compared to USD.

Model T is not efficient by modern standard. But it was the much more efficient compared to horse carriage at the time. Bitcoin is much less efficient than USD now. Very difficult to see why bitcoin would replace USD.

De-dollarization won’t happen in China. Chinese government is addicted to economic growth. The legitimacy of the government depends on it. There are only 3 ways to generate growth: infrastructure investment, consumption and export. The investment approach generates too much debt and one can argue China has reached limit there. Chinese has never been able to increase the consumption as a percentage of GDP in a meaningful way. So they have to rely on export. There is no way they can grow export without dollar.

legally the new definition of 3 month Libor is sofr + 26.161bps

The omicron variant could be a blessing in disguise if the early stories on how it is less deadly checks out. That means people refuse to get the vaccine shot will be infected with the omicron variant with relatively low consequence and get immunity that way. Btw this is how it suppose to work. The virus has no incentive to kill its host. The variant that is fast spreading and less deadly eventually wins out.

The first reaction I got watching genetic dynasty stuff is Elon Musk probably has something like that planned. The technology is more or less ready. And he is that reckless

Krugman is just too emotionally invested in the book, so nothing comparable to the book. If the show is not called foundation, he will probably enjoy it.

The article is not about what kind of life style they can afford. It's more about their common belief system. They think they get where they are by hard working and ignore the luck factor. They think people poorer than them because they don't work hard enough.