wolvoleo

Seeing a problem and knowing what to do about it are two different things. I think it's pretty clear there's a huge job problem coming and not just in the IT sector. Other areas are also heavily affected already like customer service. Translators, illustrators.

In the long term this leads to significant societal disruption. Many people out of work, many won't be able to find work because this transition happens so fast. Previous major transitions like the industrial revolution worked out ok but they happened over generations. Not years.

And with so many people out of work there will be a lot less spending money on products causing a downturn. And less people paying taxes causing the government to be stuck for money.

I don't have the answers but I do see some big problems on the horizon.

Why couldn't an AI do value creation?

It's clear its capabilities are ever expanding. Right now the human value is to tell the AI what to do. But that's something that's also based on external factors. I don't think there's some sacred guidance only a human can do.

I think it's a matter of time for it to be able to do all human intellectual work. And it can do so 24/7 without needing holidays or sick days.

We as humans won't really have a moat anymore, something only we can do.

Yes it's tiny but it's the kind of people that tend to influence others. Not in using F-Droid, but using signal yes. It could help adoption overall.

> When you say "Each group of users can have their own servers" you aren't enhancing privacy you are standing out.

You're also hedging against mandated government backdoors.

A single organisation like signal can easily compelled to add a backdoor (or leave the territory) like the EU is trying to do. Going after thousands of servers individually is a whole different problem.

I think when AIs start summarising YouTube videos it will take a hit too.

I do this a lot already, I run the audio through a transcriber and get an LLM to summarise that. I deeply hate watching videos because I have a short attention span (ADHD). I'm really glad I now have the tools to not have to do that anymore. Because some content is only available in video or podcast format.

True but they are often not the same enhancements. DCs are often placed in the middle of nowhere because people don't want them in their backyard (for good reason!).

But that infra in the middle of nowhere doesn't necessarily benefit consumers charging their cars.

Understood but they can't keep subsidizing forever.

So the question is, will you or your employer pay the real cost? And if so where will that money come from? Will there be mass layoffs or will the products become a lot more expensive leading to mass inflation?

Note that either answer is not going to be fun for society.

Agreed, the reckoning will come sooner or later. Better sooner.

Well it's proven its worth to me by now.

I wasn't convinced the first year or two. Too much hallucination, too little sense to really be useful.

But now it helps me like an assistant. It researches stuff for me and keeps me on track. I have ADHD so I have trouble with that and I procrastinate starting things because the first steps are boring. It really helps me with that and as a result I get way more done.

What it doesn't do is doing everything for me, it's really an enabler more than anything. I'm not a software developer so YMMV.

Economically though, I won't spend more than 20-30 bucks a month on it. Neither will my employer (even that much for all our employees is already tens of millions a year) So how they're going to get those trillions back I don't really know.

Yeah us too. Just keep using the same hardware for a while longer is what they're saying. That's fine for me, 3 years was too short a cycle anyway. And lenovo's ThinkPad range have been getting much worse. My T490s still had a great keyboard but my T14s gen3 is terrible. Almost no travel and no feel to it.

If it were up to me I would have kept the 490s but they insisted on replacing it :(

I think Google's lock on search was coming to an end anyway. They enshittified so much the last few years that most people I know started looking elsewhere. Of course the masses take much longer because they're more stuck in their habits but I think the writing is on the wall anyway.

The biggest issue is that a site that pays to be on top of the search results is usually not the one the user is looking for.

Yeah local models aren't quite there yet. Especially auto creating memories isn't really working so well. I am also trying to make an AI persona that knows me better but as I wouldn't give big tech all this personal info I only have local to work with. It sounds like it works way better for you.

Ps be careful with this AI persona you're building. Sometimes I'm demonstrating it to someone at work and it would bring up personal stuff I would not wish to share with everyone :) So I've made a demo account for this on my setup.

Hacker news is still pretty great imo. It's kinda a social too.

They have been making it much harder. For example the left column with your frequently visited subreddits is now completely hidden when you're not logged in. Previously this worked fine.

It's a good point, and it's not just worrying for Google but also many smaller sites.

Why bother making content when nobody ever looks at it except some bots? This is something the AI revolution still has to figure out. If it doesn't it will see a diminishing content base for AI to be built on.