vearwhershuh
Joined 7 years ago
Joined 7 years ago
Yes.
Are there reasonable people with valid concerns and perspectives worth considering?
Also yes.
No matter what you do, people will think it is profoundly smart.
Are there other variables involved? Were those different times? Grand Rapids had the lowest mortality rate and, if I'm reading the chart right, had no NPIs. Why?
People pushing these hysterical false dichotomies (coupled with a hefty amount virtue signalling) are going to be responsible for a huge amount of human suffering in the coming months and years.
The linked article does not say that the cities locked down, only that they implemented what they call Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). They didn't say that they locked everyone inside.
The evidence offered shows that the west wasn't has hard hit as the east. I can think of all sorts of confounding variables in that situation, particularly back then when the east was much more heavily industrialized.
It is possible that if we had quarantined the at risk population and focused our efforts on reasonable NPIs such as masks and social distancing, we could have kept the economy open, leading to far less suffering and death in the long run. Hysterical black-and-white choices like we are being given are their own form of gas-lighting.
Foreign Policy is the main outlet for the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), which is one of the main organizations of the establishment. It is useful to read to see what the establishment is thinking, although of course one should not expect too much honesty.
This article is academically hysterical in tone and doesn't say very much, other than things are unprecedented and central banks are trying things on a scale never tried before. Of course the problems with globalization (which the CFR championed) will never be discussed.
It does mention a Debt Jubilee, which is the best option we have right now, but doesn't drill down on it. It says something about how dire the situation is that they will even mention it without completely dismissing the idea.
For those of you interested at home, Steve Keen is the economist who has done the most work on what a fair modern debt jubilee would look like:
http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/manifesto/
It makes sense to call instead for a more active, more visionary government to lead the way out of the crisis. But the question, of course, is what form that will take and which political forces will control it.
The CFR has consistently advocated for global government, and you can expect this to be their solution to this crisis.
https://www.dreamsongs.com/WorseIsBetter.html
Good example of someone who is smarter than you, dear reader, and can argue either side of a technical argument convincingly, even to himself.
We could have locked down the vulnerable (60+ and those with pre-existing conditions), and anyone with a temperature, focused our healthcare efforts on them and let everyone else go about their business with more caution (masks + hand washing).
We would have built societal (cows are a herd, humans are a society) immunity by this point and could slowly return to normal for the at-risk crowd.
As it stands, we haven't built up any social immunity and will have to wait over a year for a vaccine which, by definition, we will not know the long term effects of.
Louis CK's "OF COURSE... but maybe" skit:
It is ridiculous to have national elections matter so much at the local level and come down to a few counties in a few contested states, remote from the vast majority of citizens.
Edit: It's heartening to see all the principled federalism and subsidiarity here in the HN comments. I'm sure it would be the same if a Democrat were in office and a Republican governer were talking this way, no?
OK.
On the other hand, I think everyone would be better off reading Propaganda, by Bernays.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Propaganda_(book)
It's short.
1) Establish a false dichotomy ("All vaccines are good, all vaccines are bad")
2) Come up with a pithy slur for the other side ("Antivaxx")
3) Emphasize the looniest people on the other side, ignore and hide the reasonable people on the other side.
4) Use this slur to browbeat moderates, the skeptical, the unsure and the open minded into silence.
It's very effective.