tokioyoyo

> It seems very unlikely they have $3-6B lying around ready to repay customer deposits

For Binance? I’d actually say very likely. They’d need to move a couple of papers around, but should be easy.

Sorry, this might be a thing in your org, and I have no idea hoe I can convince you, but it’s just not true in our environments. Maybe you might have a very non-standard set up, but frontiers do amazing job.

I’m not sure if you’re running the latest frontier models. Every single engineer (and myself included!) has mentioned numerous times how nothing beats AI in debugging. My other guess would be that you have non-standard set up that Opus 5.5 doesn’t know off the bat how to debug.

I wouldn’t say the same a year ago, but usually we get preliminary reports during incidents before someone can even auth to debug. Almost all the time, nowadays, the report is correct. We obviously verify it.

Let’s say you have an incident, and you need a resolution. Do you send out the AI for the hunt and fix it within 5 minutes, or spend 30 minutes going around, figuring out the problem yourself?

I’m on the camp of using agents as much as you can, but make sure to understand what they did. However, it will still atrophy your skills, no matter what. It’s just different times now, as on the job you’re expected to deliver faster. And obviously that means less time spending on your craft, honing your skills and etc.

At some point it clicked to me that crypto people don’t really care about the utility. Main purpose is creating new players in the world with immense amounts of power. In the end, it did produce a lot of rich people out of thin air, and I guess, served its purpose.

I’ve been interviewing a lot of candidates recently, and we have open book policy with AI usage. From what I’ve witnessed how people use AI, wrt efficiency, there seems to be some skill.

> codebase becomes too broken, messy, and bloated to run or manage

Argument is, it doesn’t matter if we can ship features and maintain them.

Imo, the problem is fragmentation, as everyone doesn’t watch the same tv/movies anymore. We don’t have shared experiences of watching Lost, Breaking Bad, Game of Thrones and etc., which used to be a global phenomenon. They do pump out quality TV (e.g. some Apple originals are top notch), it’s just it’s not like that golden era anymore.

Kinda agreed with you though, but I’m also getting old, so maybe my judgement is skewed as well.

There’s a very specific South Park episode that relates to this comment - “ You're Getting Old" (Season 15, Episode 7).

Not true. If you look at any “cheap entertainment” dashboard, you’ll see usage has been going up.

My hypothesis is, YT, Reels and TT are eating everyone’s lunch, as people spend more time on those. And for people who don’t watch much, there’s Spotify. Basically attention span degradation across all age groups.

Enterprise sales somehow convinced a lot of orgs that all AI is the same or operates on the same level. Even frontier labs have differences, and you have to use each for your own advantage.

We have had problems with people creating Apple Relay emails, registering, then deactivating their emails, then complaining that it doesn’t works. An average person doesn’t have the tech intuition that we have, so we have to work with them.

Defending is so much harder than attacking. You don't even have to focus on one target, as you can just mass-AI-script a lot of attacks wherever it's possible, and see what sticks. Even if you did everything right, there's always the social-engineering angle, or a single compromised device, or just accidental bad upgrade through supply chain. If you can mass-spread the seed, and plant something that "calls home" constantly, you can just have an agent that would start the attack the minute it gets infected, and go deeper.

It's really a wild west right now, have no idea how we fix it. I'm assuming everything will get more concentrated in big co's hands, as having a very robust security is extremely hard.

Also, we have to agree that younger people will start companies. There will be small companies that cannot afford red teams. There will be companies that are just not equipped, and their profit margins cannot sustain constant attacks.

Anything that adds friction is a big no-go in any real commerce world.