tkahnoski

I think the argument here is if you allow delivery to become a local monopoly like other utilities then just make it a utility. However as-is, there's little barrier to entry on adding delivery to any business and it should probably stay that way.

Is it necessary? No. Unfortunately I don't think would be great as a utility because quality of service matters and unlike the actual utilities, there's a lot of arbitrariness to quality of the service.

Availability of vehicles for delivery purposes is an interesting proposition. Charge doordash a tax or fee to maintain a fleet of vehicles that would open flexibility in the job market. (Consider this for ride-sharing as well... basically just reinvented the taxi medallion system but maybe with less restriction).

Agree with the absurdity. I also had to look at are there other absurd but real things. Estimating at 4.2 trillion in oil revenue is about $500 per person globally. Until you factor in the uneven distribution of that revenue what seems like an order of magnitude problem goes away.

There are of course many other holes to poke in a high level estimate like this.

I think if anything LLLM has taught us... its that AGI will not be predictable.

The idea of an intelligence being consistent as it becomes more capable is probably not a good assumption. However I think everyone will settle for consistently "correct".

(I'm ignoring current LLM non-determinism within the same model which so far is attributed to parallel processing race conditions).

I think you just made my point. If designing an eScooter you'd look at available power needed across the problem space. Even more so you might put in a safety features like a temperature monitor so electronic components don't fail because someone decided to go up a steep 12 mile mountain path and overheat the battery.

If I was designing a software system, I could introduce a time constraint. An imagined conversation: "How long will it take to get an answer? Between half a second and the heat death of the universe. OK. Can we just issue a timeout error after 1 second?"

This is putting controls in place so the system doesn't exceed its constraints and although hypothetical it might be able to do a job for any input, it can't because we haven't been able to find a more efficient solution for certain known and unknown scenarios.

I think maybe this misses the mark. Yes software can lead to unbounded complexity unlikely many physics based engineering disciplines.

However, at the end of the day, there is an input and output and compute and memory needed to run the thing and if we look at that we realize, we never actually left the bounded physical realm and we can still engineer software systems against real world constraints. We can judge its efficiency and breaking points.

What's very different is the cost to change the system to do something new and that's where this unbounded complexity blows up in our face.

Mewing is something intended to address this, but evidence isn't there. Everyone wants a non-invasive solution rather than jaw expanders, braces, retainers etc.. so depending on where your bias, you might be against "Big-Ortho" and try this, or you could invest in proven orthodontics.

There's definitely an existential question around if fusion will ever be able to beat renewables plus batteries, but who knows with our energy demands ever increasing at some point renewables may hit a breaking point in land cost.

I'm generally pro-publicly funded research. There is not any direct ROI on say the LHC, but it does fund advanced manufacturing and engineering work that might enable other more practical industrial applications. The ROI might be a century away.

Another way of looking at it is CDK's main product is an ERP tailored to the automotive industry. These aren't systems with short setup times and there is major risk to trying to replatform you're accounting system. How do you pull of an ERP migration while you're existing one is down? Further, almost everything the dealer does from inventory management to service is integrated to this system of record either directly or via data integrations.

Some of the smaller mom-and-pop stores just use small business accounting systems like quickbooks but those get pretty tedious to maintain with any sizable number of sales or employees per month.

Lately I've wondered... what if this flow of time wasn't true? at least not at universe scale? Messier than just gravitational affects but actual weird topography in time?

There is nothing scientific about this conjecture, simply a thought I haven't had time to fully contemplate. What if there were loops and turns such that light and energy from distant galaxies would loop back around not just in space but in time creating weird feedback loops.

Ditto as to living in "Dallas" proper.

Tweets from Delkus and the Fort Worth National Weather Service are the main way I pay attention to new developments. Typically stuff will get posted there before live TV coverage starts. There's almost always a graphic posted of what the window is they expect for storms to form which helps me understand what I need to pay attention to.

I have a relative in another state whose a meteorologist and he doesn't have nearly as much fun as Delkus's team does online.

As far as over-indexing on preparedness goes, there has been at least twice our kids school has dismissed early in light of a severe weather forecast, however they do this several hours ahead of time (parents can't react that fast anyways). Only for the storms to be your more normal strength T-storm by the time carline starts. I can certainly appreciate the intent, but it's almost never that certain what's going to happen unless the storms are already popping up.

Particularly since battery replacement is one of the easier DIY auto repairs many people take on.

I see what you are saying. My comment was more geared towards how a Zillow number or KBB number could move the market and I didn't consider that in the context of the article about rent.

It would be interesting to see if how rent markets change if more data becomes available. In the auto-industry, a car dealer can offload the unit to the wholesale market to minimize loss, whereas a landlord is less liquid.

The inventory pressure is there in both situations. An unsold car after 30-60 days is a problem both because of typical retail business dynamics and additional factors with general vehicle depreciation and high maintenance overhead of a vehicle compared to other capital goods, but the exit strategy is there and risk exposure can be limited.

Definitely think housing is more easily manipulated since there's little standardization of the condition of a house or the materials or features that would drive pricing. (sq foot, # bedrooms/bathrooms/pool/garage size, year built). Everything else is neighborhood comparative sales.

The auto world works a little different since there is an entire wholesale operation behind the scenes that also drives pricing. There are several alternatives to KBB although less targeted to consumers. Also way more standardized in condition reporting.... but I know too much about the industry.