throwawayzRUU6f
Joined 6 years ago
Joined 6 years ago
The fossil record for Ediacarian biota (pre-Cambrian age) is also very sparse. It's only after the evolution of endo/exoskeletons that we start to get proper fossil records
Even in Europe, with stricter regulators and less tolerance towards loud and obnoxious behavior, it's way too common to hear tuned motorcycles blasting 110dB engine screeches at 2AM, keeping everyone in the neighborhood awake. In theory it's not allowed, in reality the bikers can do it with impunity any time they please. Drones would at least provide some beneficial service.
AfterPay's valuation puts it at two thirds of mid-2012 Facebook. Up until now, I've never heard of them
90s: ask your ISP for a public IP, register your domain, start Apache and off you go
Nowadays: getting a public IP is iffy. All good domain names are taken. Emails from your self-hosted mail server go straight to spam/junk. Fiddling with TLS certificates is close to mandatory. The moment you start your server, you're bombarded by a flood of gratuitous requests, trying out every known vulnerability under the sun. etc. etc.
Allegedly, the talent pool is really shallow - with a modicum of intelligence, passion and human skills, it's not that hard to make it. But most of the guys who end up studying trades are the bottom of the barrel who would do badly in any endeavor (or so I was told).
Then, there's a very important tool in forming editorial slant - omitting reporting on inconvenient facts. Italy and Spain, the putatively sluggish laggards strangled by overly strict labor protection laws, have somehow overtaken the allegedly dynamic UK in labor productivity. Ireland, the purported economic wonder, have a household disposable income (a fairly good metric of material standards of living), lower than Italy and much lower than France. We keep hearing about the importance of education, competitiveness, R&D and ease of doing business, yet somehow Finland, which tops the rankings, is in year 14 of it's economic stagnation. Have you heard any of this from The Economist?
Economy has a risk-free rate of return, that of 1-year treasuries, at 0.05% currently. Anything above that involves risk. A rate of return of 7%/year means there's 7%-0.05% chance of the instrument being worthless after one year, ~14% chance of it losing half its value, ~28% chance of it losing a quarter of it's value, etc. There's no free lunch, and there's no financial arbitrage
In other words - the value of proposition of autonomous driving would be completely fine if the car gives up on unarguably difficult situations and alerts the driver to take over. As of now, however, the car will boldly do something stupid and dangerous.
Also - ignore crypto, it's a distraction. Zooming out, it's just a simple wealth transfer: dollars in => black box => dollars out. Dollars out go to miners, exchanges, scams and the lucky few who cash out. Nothing in the black box can conjure up new dollars. Once the dollar inflow stops, it's over. Crypto is not worth $1.5T, not even close, there's at most a few dozen billions in the ecosystem - a rounding error in the grand scheme of things.
US tech stocks are overpriced, US startups ridiculously so (savings glut faucet flooding a small sector in search of something, anything). Real estate in a few selected locales is a bubble, but not overall.
The worrying part is not the asset prices, but what it tells us - that the largest wealth funds and corporations in the world cannot find anything worth investing in.
Does a corporation want to sell their products and services in country X? Very well, they must agree to the following regulation. The country X reserves an option to, at any point in time, buy up any subsidiaries or parts of the corporation, for value based on generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). For example, if the accounting profit of Microsoft Germany is $0 over the past decade, the country has an option to purchase Microsoft Germany for its fair GAAP price - $0. After doing this, the country also has an option to reverse the trades the subsidiary has done. So, if Microsoft Germany sold its IP to Microsoft Ireland for the total value of $100, the country X can buy it back for $100. Repeat with Microsoft US, Microsoft UK, etc. The shareholders will be left with their extremely valuable (according to GAAP) Microsoft Ireland and Microsoft Singapore.
Any sufficiently large country with sufficiently motivated government can pull this off. No revolutionary overhaul of the existing tax system is necessary. The regulation is clear and fair. But again, it's never gonna happen.
That's my understanding, too; amongst the technocrats and field-experts, power-to-gas is taken very seriously. However, amongst the public and the press, even the pop-science press, it's scarcely ever mentioned. Hydrogen, batteries, biofuels, carbon capture, and even fusion all enjoy vastly more attention. I cannot think of any explanation that wouldn't be cynical or sinister
The 33kWh per kilo of hydrogen - that's the absolute physical limit of green hydrogen production via electrolysis, assuming 100% efficient production, no leaks, no labor, no maintenance, no electricity losses, frictionless transportation and infrastructure that just magically pops up where needed. It's not the case that technology will push the price down - this is the best anyone can ever hope for