thiago_fm

As a kid I lived somewhere close to a forest, as well my granpa had a tiny farm. I basically grew up in the woods as I'd go there to play with my friends, take care of livestock on the farm, do all kinds of random stuff and also get bitten by a snake and random problems too.

We made a soccer field, built a hut and a couple of other things there. It was fun.

I do miss it, and this isn't about AI or anything, but mostly nostalgia of a simpler time, but it isn't that simple as an adult or to make this a full-time endeavour and just live there.

Nature is fucking harsh, people that are crying about AI getting them unemployed or changing their professions are pretty much mostly softies... and seeing nature as refuge is a mistake. Living there is HARD.

There's a reason why people accept living in a huge city instead of buying some cheap plot somewhere.

Life in the city is so easy as the government typically takes care of a lot of invisible problems you have if you live in the middle of nowhere.

So, living in the woods is very tough, I just lived nearby and we've had to deal with many issues because of it.

If you intend to live there, you are up for a rude awakening. It's very expensive as well, you'd need to invest quite a bit to make it livable.

Also if you want to eventually plant some potatos or something there might be regulations and limitations of what you can do.

With some planning it's definitely doable, but it isn't that simple to just move in there.

An alternative nowadays can be to have a camper, but not all countries allow you to camp anywhere, in the US you are allowed to, but in Europe AFAIK you can't.

Then you can just camp for sometime and see if it's fitting you, and figure out how can you make a living doing it, as inevitably you'll need money and find out how to survive.

Just go with the flow, leadership doesn't know the limitations and by using it and and causing incidents or pushing lots of slop, they will find out.

They are the leaders, you are the employee and the follower.

And honestly, AI is so fucking good, for me it's surprising the fact that you are so behind in adoption and questioning it.

Nobody is writing code anymore.

Companies now need to figure out how to actually structure work and teams based on the fact they can build anything very quickly.

As harsh as it sounds, I loved writing code and configuring my VIM editor, but our old way of working is absolutely over. You have to adapt to it or they have no reason to keep you.

I think you may have a problem with caching, can you check how much cache % you have?

Whats your harness?

You still review code?

Maybe improve your development process, learn how to use AI better so you don't have to.

Maybe only if you are writing OS or some very specific kind of software you have to do this.

For all the other kinds of software, you likely don't need to.

This will go on until the AI CAPEX starts to drain. But there's a chance that this never happens.

All that money being spent on NVidia GPUs has to become tokens which will be bought by a business.

Many of those AI businesses are making those LLMs do something useful, which makes sense.

But right now nobody has an idea how much a single token really costs.

Once the CAPEX has to start showing some real cashflow positive numbers, it's likely that the token prices will go up, margins will compress and a lot of businesses will go bankrupt.

Of course, if this even stops. We could keep going on forever if AGI/ASI arrives, then all our previous ideas about economics which is based on human labour mostly is outdated, and we will need to figure out new economics!

This name is so good.

ZuckOff!

I wish they'd just make them illegal, it would be easier.

Like, if people want to use it on their private property, alright, legal.

But in public? I never accepted any terms and conditions for it...

Damn, this was a terrible showcase of their voice API, I really love their product. It's the fucking best, a life changer. But... what a meh showcase.

Is somebody from OpenAI hiring? I can show how I use it to learn German, among other very interesting usages.

Also show proper excitement etc... I think also a lot of real users could do better.

It feels like they aren't real users of their own products...

How about we instead make Earth be a planet good for humans and living beings?

We can slow down AI development and make it a companion for us, not a replacement.

We don't need to automate ourselves out of it. Or take the risk of extinction.

Just like with nukes, we decided to not blow up the planet. We can too change this.

GDP is a terrible measure. I bet we will see a huge drop on HDI with so many suicides and people going through hell because their job got automated or they no longer see meaning in life, feeling powerless.

Instead they should run an estimate on how many would suicide until 2030 if the 'extreme scenario' happens.

Big GDP growth and a lot of people no longer finding purpose in their lives, going bankrupt, losing their homes and family etc.

For Anthropic, you are just clearly a number. They only care about output.

They have long forgotten the human being.

Make less your life about your work. It's so hard for some people, myself included to do that. But you need to do that!

Some people don't even want to work at all or work in a successful product or whatever. We created all those silly expectations for ourselves, often they aren't even our expectations but the expectations of others.

Those expectations, our desires often make us very miserable.

For instance, 90%+ of the people in the world would dream of living in Sweden, despite your bad outlook of the job market. It's all about perspective.

Of course, if you can afford, pay a psychologist. They may help you better to deal with your emotions and help you find out what you need.

Maybe try building something... if you want, hit me up, see my profile. But maybe first try to chill down and enjoy life a bit.

Dario's messaging has been extremely confusing and HE'S RESPONSIBLE for further increasing the negative sentiment of the public towards AI.

He's clearly focusing on being on the news to provoke emotions on people, preparing for the Anthropic big blockbuster IPO.

Dario, Sam Altman and others should instead be praying every night that this will take us to the Singularity VERY SOON, because if it doesn't, the entire country will blame them for absolutely destroying their retirement and the US' economy once this AI Datacenter bubble pops.

I often wonder if there's a chance, even if minimal... that they stole the weights of the Anthropic models they run on their datacenter... or are actively destillating it.

The question is whether they can penetrate those markets before going bankrupt

My take: no

They are still pretty much competing for software development, you see only tiny verticals being tried by OpenAI and Anthropic, with Claude Design et al

This can be better done by other companies, with a fresh balance sheet, don't you think?

There'll be plenty of people at Anthropic and OpenAI opening those companies

Agents are already too good, the models improved

Nowadays you can just start with a plan.md and add everything you want there, verification etc

And you can build a loop to verify/validate it in case its a big/long-running plan

I don't have the problems you mentioned that the models aren't able to follow instructions throughoutly, they do make some mistakes, but it's up to you to set up a process that would work for your codebase to understand that the mistakes were made and need to be fixed, that can be done in a loop for example.

It's exactly this. Not only this, we might be running very soon into cheap compute soon given the current CAPEX of all hyperscalers.

DeepSeek is model that you can run anywhere, meaning that any datacenter/company could run it at a price that would give them a margin taking in account running costs of the datacenter + depreciation.

I'm very sure we're overbuilding capacity, and we'll find out around 2027.

Those open weights will become extremely attractive because all that datacenter extra capacity laying idle will be possible to be used by builders.

It may be the case that in 2027-2028 will be cheaper to start a new AI model company from scratch to compete with Anthropic/OpenAI as you'll be able to:

- the new company won't be tied to so much capital, debt and running costs

- get much cheaper datacenters to train than it is Today, as the big labs will be stuck with bad infra contracts

- have great engineers/researchers willing to jump ship because if Anthropic/OpenAI valuation falls, that will destroy their equity

- wide available chinese models to distill from, papers and ideas on how to acquire datasets

Anthropic/OpenAI are playing an extremely risky game, they need to greatly keep doubling their bets and delivering model big performance increments.

If they don't give us ASI/AGI in 2 years or find huge new markets, there's no way the economics will make sense.

The execs forgot why AI models even exist (like huge usage for the cyber models, or new types of models)...

AI models' usage is mostly tied to build Software Today, that's where the value really lies now.

If there isn't enough Software to be built as people claim to the rate they expect, eventually the supply of AI models will outstrip the demand.

You can't sell pick & shovels infinitely, AI models themselves are also in that category.

Eventually you need enough holes to be dug, and gold to be struck, and nobody knows what's that demand. (even though they built all that supply...)

If you add all those .md files to your AGENTS.md, your harness will likely load all those files into context. This will create context pollution for you.

Context, similar to your computer's memory, is limited.

Additionally, the more things the AI has in context, the worse it performs.

Skills helps you to quickly add more context for doing things, without polluting your context window.

I think you need to learn about AI, there isn't anything hype there. It's just an easier way of giving more context to the AI.

This can be helpful, for example, if you have an internal API that does XYZ, and you want the AI to know that API, you can save that API, its endpoints and authenticaiton methods to a skill, and invoke it when you want your harness (CC, Codex) to know about the existance of that API, to make requests, make tests etc.