thegginthesky
Joined 8 years ago
Joined 8 years ago
But this is my 5th job out of college and the longest I've been in a single job. When I hit my 4year mark, I started to think that the grass is greener on the other side and looked for opportunities here and there.
A few years in and I didn't find the right place that would make me jump ship. I have high standards and I can spot redflags based on past experiences in jobs in multiple countries.
I also found out that after I got older and accrue more responsibilities outside work, my job became a much smaller focal point of my life.
I'd rather be employed in an okay place, being paid a competitive enough salary (75% in the curve), and have opportunity to learn new things in the job and out, even if I don't love the field. As opposed to try a new job and risk being put in a toxic work environment and lose the balance I have now.
If you are not growing as an engineer, going to a new job might not help you and could be detrimental. It's much better to learn new things while you have the time to do so. Find an area you want to learn more, try new projects or courses, and have fun at your own pace.
At my company we have very time sensitive AB tests that we have to run with very few data points (at most 20 conversions per week, after 1000 or so failures).
We found out that using Bayesian A/B testing was excellent for our needs as it could be run with fewer data points than regular AB for the sort of conversion changes we aim for. It gives a probability of group B converting better than A, and we can run checks to see if we should stop the test.
Regular ABs would take too long and the significance of the test wouldnt make much sense because after a few weeks we would be comparing apples to oranges.
I'm wondering if you'd like to accept a contribution for Bayesian AB Testing, based on this whitepaper[0] and developed in Numpy.
If so, we can chat at my email gbenatt92 at zohomail dot com, or I can open a draft PR to discuss the code and paper.
[0]https://vwo.com/downloads/VWO_SmartStats_technical_whitepape...
Giving a cursory look into Bishop's book I see that I am wrong, as there's deep root in Bayesian Inference as well.
On another note, I find it very interesting that there's not a bigger emphasis on using the correct distributions in ML models, as the methods are much more concerned in optimizing objective functions.
Edit: corrected my sentence, but see 0xdde reply for better info.
To understand both camps I summarize like this.
Frequentist statistics has very sound theory but is misapplied by using many heuristics, rule of thumbs and prepared tables. It's very easy to use any method and hack the p-value away to get statistically significant results.
Bayesian statistics has an interesting premise and inference methods, but until recently with the advancements of computing power, it was near impossible to do simulations to validate the complex distributions used, the goodness of fit and so on. And even in the current year, some bayesian statisticians don't question the priors and iterate on their research.
I recommend using methods both whenever it's convenient and fits the problem at hand.
The article is very well succinct and even explains why even my Bayesian professors had different approaches to research and analysis. I never knew about the third camp, Pragmatic Bayes, but definitely is in line with a professor's research that was very through on probability fit and the many iteration to get the prior and joint PDF just right.
Andrew Gelman has a very cool talk "Andrew Gelman - Bayes, statistics, and reproducibility (Rutgers, Foundations of Probability)", which I highly recommend for many Data Scientists
What are my limitations in this case? Can I keep the contract I'm currently in while the visa process chugs along? What about proof of income?
Restricting business operation altogether is a response a country gives when they see the other party as extremely adversarial, which is a few orders of magnitude above what EU fines are to Big Tech.
Big difference
To get the job he applied for a spot I'm Software Engineer applied in Machine Learning, he went through the multiple step interview process, and then when he got the job he did a few weeks of training and interviewing teams. One of the teams in charge of optimizing ML code in Meta picked him up and now he works there.
Because of Meta's scale, optimizing code that saves a few ms or watts is a huge impact in the bottom line.
In sum:
- Get a formal education in the area - Get work experience somewhere - Apply for a big tech job in Software Engineer applied with ML - Hope they hire you and have a spot in one of the teams in charge of optimizing stuff
But emulators are hit or miss, specially if you aren't tech-savvy enough to fix specific problems, and depends on the people's preferences:
- they need to install and configure an emulator, which isn't fool proof
- go through the hoops of downloading ROMs from sometimes sketchy sources
- configuring each game to work well
- self troubleshooting any issues they might have with some games
- not wanting to play their games online (which in Nintendo's case the online experience is truly lacking)
- not have any moral issues with piracy for games that are currently selling in both physical and digital format and are widely available
Nintendo's Switch is due for a very necessary upgrade, but the console is still widely available, very convenient with minimal setup and troubleshooting, and very plug and play. With the added benefit that you get to support developers to continue making the games.
But the job is very high revenue (thousands of dollars per cargo depending on the distance) but low profit (5%-10%) in these times.
But what we saw during the peak was crazy, and some investors and execs thought it would last.
At least in regards to what pertains FTL freight, we saw a drop of tougjly 50% in volumes as consumer spending is down when compared to pandemic height. I am pretry sure there will be a seasonal trend upwards, but no where in the way it was before.
If you are in the industry, you can easily check how much cargo is moving around. Maybe by November-December it will be less than a 50% drop, but expect it to return by kid January-February.