sumnuyungi
Joined 6 years ago
Joined 6 years ago
Her witness list does not include anyone that will refute those points and is mainly filled with people whose only account of what happened between Johnny/Amber is what they've heard from Amber.
Just a sample of her claims thus far:
> Walked across a tile floor covered in glass shards from broken bottles and wine
> Sexual assault with a (potentially broken) wine bottle
> Thrown across a room by the neck
> Beaten on top of a bed so forcefully as to have broken the timber bed frame
1. You can't use the entire range back to Jan 2021 to calculate current vaccine effectiveness and 2. if you use data from Nov 2021 (Omicron start), the Swiss data presents non-linearity that suggests small sample size/incomplete data.
> Also, see the recent nyc hospitalization data, which includes the entire omicron wave (now fading): https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/covid-19-breakthrough-data. Note, this raw data understates vaccine efficacy as a relatively high proportion of vaccinated individuals are vaccinate with rather than for COVID.
It understates vaccine efficacy or overemphasizes omicron severity. At this point, we have enough data from regions with varying vaccination rates to conclude that it's the latter.
> Not sure why the age bracket point is relevant unless you think the vaccines have different relative efficacy within different age brackets for omicron - that was not the case for prior variants.
I selected age brackets for time ranges during Omicron wave and the spikes suggest small sample sizes. Small sample sizes can't be used to draw any conclusions from re: vaccine effectiveness.
It really is not a disputed claim that 2 shots do not provide much protection over the baseline for Omicron. Hence this post submission with Pfizer launching an Omicron-specific shot...
Not the study from Reuters that I linked, but another with a specific definition of "vaccine effectiveness":
During the proxy omicron period, we found a vaccine effectiveness of 70% (95% confidence interval [CI], 62 to 76), a finding that was supported by the results of all sensitivity tests. This measure of vaccine effectiveness was significantly different from that during the comparator period, when the rate was 93% (95% CI, 90 to 94) against hospitalization for Covid-19 (Table 2).
[1] https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2119270#:~:text=D....
[1] https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/...
> I got a snotty response that I wouldn't be able to smell things that are in a sealed package, and I should always go by the manufacturing date printed on the package. No. You're wrong. And you're wrong about food safety, which is really not good. You go by smell, sliminess, color. The printed date is a nice guide but NOT what anyone should be using for food safety.
Did you consider that meats are sealed in store and you cannot smell it before purchasing? Going by date is fine for most areas. I also don't understand how you can be upset over "overly-patronizing" instructions but also want the level of detail for inspecting meat to include texture/smell/appearance.
> Now I've completed the food safety and "do you know what lean meat is" quiz, and I immediately go into another quiz about buying cheese. It wants me to say which cheese is hard and how to store cheese. What does this have to do with cooking a cheeseburger? I gave up.
Ingredient preparation is a basic component of any recipe. Knowing how to store cheese has a pretty obvious relationship to cooking a cheeseburger.
> It seems like a knowledge graph the way you've done it is an anti-pattern of actual cooking. You're decomposing every recipe into its ingredients and then asking arbitrary questions about each one.
It seems like if you think cheese storage is arbitrary, you do not cook for yourself on a regular basis enough to think about ingredient storage/preparation.
> I don't think a framework of focusing on ingredients in a vacuum, having people get quizzes wrong, and calling them "Junior Chef" is the way to do it.
Knowing the ingredients you're working with is the basic foundation to cooking. I don't see how someone can try to make a "Duolingo for Cooking" without including foundations... it'd be like trying to teach Spanish without defining pronouns.