storus

Do you need to know the full conditional probability distributions of the model to tell if it's a watermarked text, or does this work without that knowledge, i.e. without having the access to the full weights?

Another wave of inflation is coming in the next 6 months or what?

The advantage of running local stack is that you can do the compaction at the time of inference, i.e. some tool call runs out of context, you can just pause inference, purge/replace old tool calls with their summaries or just logs by operating directly over tokens on a GPU, rebuilding KV cache (one time prefill hit) and resuming the inference, easily being able to e.g. read 1000 markdowns, each 50k long, in a single LLM call. That's not possible with current agentic harnesses using LLM calls.

My main gripe is with Claude deciding to make 200 lines of code in a PR I need to review, instead of 3 lines of code somebody who understands the original algorithm/intent would do. And coworkers just YOLOing changes without understanding them. Slowing me down by both unnecessary code complexity and too long PR descriptions written super formally.

Yeah, but you can bet on almost anything and have a proxy fight with people of a different opinion to you, and the winner gets the money of their opponents. So it's a "kinda battleground" in that sense.

Some folks do fundamental analysis, some do technical analysis, most do a mix of those. You don't need Bloomberg terminal to extract fundamentals nor alpha. Maybe a better example would be S&P Capital IQ - you can essentially replace it with agents doing the web searches and extractions for you. Another 20-50k saved.

I mean the whole eclipse was shortly before the sunset and shortly after the sunset you could see 6 planets nearby. That's quite unique, don't you think?

Wow, that's even faster than diffusion LLMs but with the Fable-level quality! Congrats!

Can't you just use a bunch of agents to extract financial statements from company websites the moment they are published? OK, no insider info but you can still do quick agentic fundamental analysis and decide which companies are interesting.

Isn't Polymarket essentially an instance of a battleground for anything?

Did your dad immigate from a country where nepotism/cronyism was the norm? Wasn't America unique in the ability to give this frugal person a chance to pull himself up by the bootstraps by giving him and his children the opportunity to earn a good living without knowing anyone in power? Do you want America that would look like your dad's original country, being a permanent underclass there?

Pointing out that cronyism/nepotism is giving the largest boost for one's success instead of "meritocracy" is pretty depressing...

Don't forget 6-planet alignment.

The main camera on YouTube from Leon, Spain, completely missed corona...