revelio
Joined 3 years ago
Joined 3 years ago
Presumably if actors pick this as a hill to die on, well, suddenly there'll be even more surplus supply of actors to demand because the easy roles are VFX, and at that point Hollywood can just break the unions with scabs.
So there's nothing to try again here. Your question was answered correctly the first time.
And that's before you get to the way they rewrite the past in the temperature databases. It leads to problems like this:
Jeff Berardelli, WFLA-TV (Tampa Bay) Chief Meteorologist and Climate Specialist: “In case you missed it. The temperature soared as high as 100 degrees in the Northwest Territories on Saturday, the hottest temperature ever measured north of 65 degrees latitude in the Western Hemisphere”. Tough keeping up with all this climate chaos.”
https://twitter.com/WeatherProf/status/1678635894021005312
100 degrees, hottest ever measured in north of 65 degrees latitude. A factual statement?
No, because it's not true. It reached 100F at Fort Yukon (66.6 degrees latitude) in 1915, according to government logbooks since erased from their websites:
https://web.archive.org/web/20170209162324/https://www.ncdc....
This happens because climatologists engage in data fraud. They not only constantly change how they combine individual readings into global aggregates, but also rewrite the temperature history of every single weather station too. It leads to constant 1984-esque dystopian events, like trusted news sources claiming a new record has been broken when you can find records of that "record" having been previously already been reached or exceeded in newspaper archives and old documents.
https://theconversation.com/insect-apocalypse-not-so-fast-at...
The second is a prediction for 300 years in the future. But we're talking about the claim "the ecology is collapsing", present tense.
macOS does have stronger security, but it's security in the form of stopping apps accessing files until they need permission and things.
There's also the issue that BEST has diverged drastically from satellite observations. It's not possible for both sources to be true simultaneously as they claim to be measuring the same thing.
It's not hugely surprising that they claimed to investigate these concerns and then simply duplicated the bad methodologies that were being criticized in the first place. Berkeley Earth is run by a guy who has said, amongst other things,
"I would love to believe that the results of Mann et al. are correct, and that the last few years have been the warmest in a millennium."
In the same article where he said that he observed that anyone who took issue with the Mann hockey-stick history rewrites were attacked and people had engaged in mass resignations simply because papers disagreeing with it were published.
There's a fundamental philosophy of science issue here that can't be resolved with the "one more study" approach. Climatologists don't attempt to improve their source data quality. They don't build and operate weather station networks, they rely on others that were built for other purposes. Although the changes they claim to be monitoring are very small (like 0.1-0.2 C per decade) they don't set up the instruments they need to obtain such precise and accurate measurements. Instead they suck up data from literally any thermometer they can find and then apply algorithms that they claim correct the bias and corruption. This isn't scientifically valid. If scientists have doubts about their source data they're supposed to use error bars, but when did you ever see a temperature graph that had error bars? They never do because many of the stations they use report uncertainty intervals of anywhere from half a degree C to even 5 degrees C. These CIs are much wider than the size of the claimed trend and would thus destroy any ability to detect warming from the ground station network. So, they rely on this algorithmic approach, but that isn't convincing due to how frequently they decided their previous algorithms were wrong and rewrite the history of the climate.
https://retractionwatch.com/2021/08/16/will-the-real-hottest...
There were periods in the past warmer than it is today. Climatologists once knew this, it was uncontroversial. But when they realized they could raise the importance of their field by predicting disaster, this history became problematic and was erased.
https://www.epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/hearings?Id=BFE4...
I had another interesting experience around the time my paper in Science was published. I received an astonishing email from a major researcher in the area of climate change. He said, "We have to get rid of the Medieval Warm Period."
The Medieval Warm Period (MWP) was a time of unusually warm weather that began around 1000 AD and persisted until a cold period known as the "Little Ice Age" took hold in the 14th century. Warmer climate brought a remarkable flowering of prosperity, knowledge, and art to Europe during the High Middle Ages.
The existence of the MWP had been recognized in the scientific literature for decades. But now it was a major embarrassment to those maintaining that the 20th century warming was truly anomalous. It had to be "gotten rid of."
For sure. But I don't see what's AI specific about it. If the AI doom scenario is a super smart AI tricking people into doing self destructive things by using clever words, then everything you need to do to vaccinate people against that is the same as if it was humans doing the tricking. Teaching critical thinking, self reliance, to judge arguments on merit and not on surface level attributes like complexity of language or titles of the speakers. All these are things our society objectively sucks at today, and we have a ruling class - including many of the sorts of people who work at AI companies - who are hellbent on attacking these healthy mental habits, and people who engage in them!
> Not seen academics get stick before, except in history books.
For academics you could also read intellectuals. Marx wasn't an academic but he very much wanted to be, if he lived in today's world he'd certainly be one of the most famous academics.
I'm of the view that corporations are very tame compared to the damage caused by runaway academia. It wasn't corporations that locked me in my apartment for months at a time on the back of pseudoscientific modelling and lies about vaccines. It wasn't even politicians really. It was governments doing what they were told by the supposedly intellectually superior academic class. And it isn't corporations trying to get rid of cheap energy and travel. And it's not governments convincing people that having children is immoral because of climate change. All these things are from academics, primarily in universities but also those who work inside government agencies.
When I look at the major threats to my way of life today, academic pseudo-science sits clearly at number 1 by a mile. To the extent corporations and governments are a threat, it's because they blindly trust academics. If you replace Professor of Whateverology at Harvard with ChatGPT, what changes? The underlying sources of mental and cultural weakness are the same.
That sort of thing sounds OK for primary/elementary school. You'd expect science at that level to be focused on soft stuff. Expecting kids of that age to do real experiments or care about the philosophy of science is too much, if you can get them out into the garden and looking at insects and flowers then that's a good start.
I think there's a subtle difference between viruses/bacteria and what government officials mean when they talk about infectious diseases. Obviously any good biology curriculum will cover viruses and bacteria at the microscopic level. But when governments talk about "infectious diseases" what they really mean is the macro scale of epidemiology and other social sciences, because they're constantly being told by rich NGOs that we now live in an age of pandemics, and they think about disease purely through the lens of social policy and enforcement. The response to COVID was widely condemned as un-scientific because link between what academics/civil servants recommended to governments and what was actually scientifically known about viruses was nearly non-existent.