recursivedoubts

if you want a vision of the future, winston, imagine 'X isn't Y, it's Z'... forever

"It's gotta be in my interests, I guess.... its not" --Value Select

There are two types of advocates for efficient markets: the true believers & the people who manipulate markets. The latter create and fund institutes & academic departments stocked with the former to convince and/or intimidate moderately educated people into disbelieving their lyin' eyes.

And, sometimes, they are right.

Continue to pray to Yellowstone. Concentrate on the magma chamber. We can end it here. We can end it for all time.

I think the first thing to do is to recognize the need for forming connections and start working on the skills that foster those. Technical people tend to not be great at softer people skills & communication, so that's something you can start working on. I advise against just starting to reach out to people, that isn't effective usually, but to start working on the skills necessary and start looking for the situations you have access to that do foster connections.

Also, when you are on the other side, recognize that offering connections to unconnected people is a wonderful act of charity.

I'm not sure this is more significant than the industrial revolution, but it is certainly faster. I am withholding judgement until we start to see real world changes beyond symbol manipulation.

I agree there is little moat around code qua code now. I'm not sure that means there will be fewer coders, because the people in the best position to take advantage of this new technology are... coders.

I again agree that code qua code is becoming less valuable, but I think that ironically _understanding_ code (and systems) is going up in value. Complexity still grows super-linearly and so judicious technical decisions will need to be made.

I strongly agree with your last point and I am advocating for a "+CS" track here at Montana State, where non-CS majors can learn enough practical CS to be productive and then excel in their own major. I'm speculating a 3-4 class track with AI/vibe coding as part of it.

Hello all, I wrote this article to help students considering CS as a major.

My own son has just started university studying CS, so I have skin in this game.

I continue to believe in what I've said in this article despite being startled (like most people) by the advances in AI recently.

One thing that I have noticed since writing this article is that the most effective vibe coders are already excellent developers, which I think is in keeping with the themes I discuss here. While I do expect the amount of hand-written code to decline, I think that knowing how code (and technical systems) work is going to continue to be valuable and perhaps even more valuable. I have no crystal ball, but that's what I'm seeing right now.

You trust car makers to get that right?

You trust state actors to not force them to not get it right?

It has been demonstrated repeatedly that modern cars can be remotely hijacked and controlled as well. We really do live in a dystopia.