peab
Joined 9 years ago
Joined 9 years ago
The idea that someone at say, Google, will be able to fit even half of the system architecture in their heads is not realistic. It also hinges on being able to find and understand the right slice of the system in any situation.
But we have all sorts of guardrails to make that easy - i.e logs, traces, etc
The ability to have decision making models is not new! Look at qwen, gemma, etc, they can all do structured output, and they can do it locally and cheaper and/or faster than Jev!
What really pissed me off was that y'all got manipulated into thinking it was something revolutionary, while really it was a marketing stunt.
Go to doomers.ai and look at the case studies.
Nowadays any LLM and any harness you use will just do this for you.
But there are helper libraries like Instructor that have been around since like gpt3, which abstract away retries and stuff to make this super easy.
If it's successful, their boring machine will tunnel 10x faster and 10x cheaper than competitors, and it will be the one making new tunnels for all sorts of trains.
The fact that you can pay the average price for a car, and get a car that fully drives itself today, is mind boggling.
Boring Company is also on the path to being successful, it's just not advertised much.
Solar roof - yes, this one I would mark as a failure.
Cybertruck - they're still selling, so not a failure. But not as great as originally promised.
Hyperloop - this could still come after boring company succeeds.
Nobody is saying he's god. But maybe, he understands engineering better than some commenters on HN, that's all.
I think the problem with these sorts of studies is that the industry is moving so fast, and by the time your paper gets peer reviewed and published it is no longer relevant.
In this paper, the participants are using mostly ChatGPT - well, there's a HUGE difference in free chatGPT, gpt 6, gpt 4o, gpt 3.5?
What might have been the case for say, GPT 4, is probably no longer the case with GPT 6.
My experience with Google's gemini right now makes this obvious, as I run out of Gemini 4 Astra in a conversation, and then it switches me to Gemini flash lite.