pashamur
Joined 14 years ago
Joined 14 years ago
If you look at the source below for men's wages (for example), the real wage has fallen by 3% for the median male since 1979 (and by 10% real decline for the bottom 10%). That's not even accounting for the fact that housing should make up a higher % of the consumption basket for the lowest-paid workers (as compared to CPI).
I think that this affects the price of new vs used moreso than the experience of purchasing it.
I highly recommend listening to "Bullshit Jobs" by David Graeber on the observed inverse relationship between pay and [actual] value (if we're talking about societal value, for example). There are exceptions to the rule, but the correlation is quite strong.
Novel writing is more subjective - if it were a clearly competitive endeavor with objective rules, I'm sure that the top performers would have coaches as well.
So if the situation is right, almost anyone can fall for it (Gorilla on basketball court experiment)
Usually we use CPI as a proxy for it. However, most people when evaluating houses ignore the implied rent paid; owning a house means not having to pay rent - and that has a specific price on it, depending on your local rental market. So in a relative sense, you owning that house makes you richer relative to the people that did not own a house (who did not get the same nominal appreciation at all and are much worse off), and leaves you at the same place with other people owning the house. You're unlikely to be worse off (on a relative standing) than if you hadn't gotten the house. So I'm not sure richer/poorer makes sense without considering the alternatives (i.e. renting & investing)
Shorts usually cover once the rebound starts, not when things are free-falling (their trailing stops get triggered, etc)
A free market system would make for even more uneven differentiation in health care quality - with some people not being able to receive care at all at the end of the day. Yes, on average we would have better health outcomes (same as most people would have better outcomes on average if you didn't require car insurance, since most people don't end up using it), but the few outlier cases would be significantly more tragic than they already are.
Think of houses like bonds that pay a coupon (rent). If risk free rate goes down, the coupon is worth more in comparison so house price goes up.
The only downside is that when you buy a house that is cheap with a high interest rate you can benefit from refinancing if the rate goes down (and deduct your mortgage interest, which used to be significant tax savings). When you buy an expensive house at a low rate, you get no such benefit (although if inflation does pick up, the fact that you are implicitly short the borrowed dollars might still work in your favor).
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paradox_of_thrift
You get ahead by saving, but everyone can’t do that all together or the economy collapses.