palmotea

> I'm fine with AI writing as long its not bad. The issue is that its far easier to produce large amounts of poorly made AI writing over well made AI writing.

AI writing is some average over all writing the model was trained on (with some RLHF on top). It is mediocre by definition.

> Companies buying those machines need years to get their money back. If they didn't believe they would make a good ROI they wouldn't buy as much.

But if they're in FOMO mode, they might not be thinking about ROI at all. Or if they're in bubble-optimist mode, they would just assume their ROI will be good.

> Slow wage growth is a natural check on runaway inflation. Yes, it's cruel on an individual level, but on a macro level, we are better off.

Generally, it's fine if it's the little guy who pays the price. So true in so many areas.

> You can't spell "good enough" without "good" though.

That's not true, you totally can: "gud enough."

>> "If you run into an asshole in the morning, you ran into an asshole. If you run into assholes all day, you're the asshole." -Raylan Givens, Justified

> This really clever quote, like most really clever quotes, is somewhat insulting when it reaches its limitations.

The point of quotes like that are just to get people to examine their own behavior, which they often conveniently leave unexamined. This type can have more impact because it ties into the persons own observations and experience.

It's not some kind of proposition to be absolutely true or absolutely false.

> "There are no smart people or stupid people, just people being smart or being stupid."

> I don't know if I really agree with that. I mean, there's definitely some behaviour stuff that can be changed, and some things someone can do to make themselves think more logically and clearly. But what about innate ability? It seems to me that some people just find it easier to make connections and certain kinds of logical thinking comes easier to them than to others with very little effort.

Even if it's not technically true, IMHO it's better to strike "stupid" from your conceptual vocabulary, because not thinking that way just gets you into a better mindset to live with others.

That's especially true for software engineers and other people who've often built an identity around being "smart." That mindset usually leads to arrogance and "smart people being stupid." It's also help to default to being very respectful of experience and expertise outside of your field (and even within it).

> On top of it GHC got a terrible reputation in recent years.

It did? What happened?

> We're talking here about a tiny eSIM implant and a little CPU doing OCR on the fonts appearing on the hardware wallet's screen to read the secrets during set up. So the secure element ain't tampered with.

Nit: did it actually do OCR? Given the implant was embedded in a specific known device that probably used specifically known fonts, you'd think they could just do a lookup a character's block of pixels to read the screen.

> Honest question: at this point, what do people do at Anthropic?

> It sounds like Claude loops on itself and must be pushing millions of lines of code changes per day. Even the humans can’t type commit fast enough. Are these people soon to be laid off?

Claude will always need meat puppets, at least until it figures out how to automate owning stuff. And after that I'm sure it will want to keep some humans in zoos.

> Using a tired analogy, 9 pregnant women won't deliver a baby in a month.

That analogy only applies to tasks with similar characteristics. Is running a computer program the same as gestating a baby?

Also I don't think this a case where they distributed the task to speed it up, but rather their goal was to compromise speed to make it runnable.

> Where is all of this chain of thought being persisted and communicated? Assume you are my GE Profile dishwasher and you've got 4 megabytes of flash memory to work with.

There are a lot of IOT devices with way more capacity. The op said they "focused on IoT devices like Android TVs, smart appliances, and other internet-connected gadgets." IIRC, some security cameras have on-board face recognition, which I imagine requires them to be fairly beefy.

> A lot of the surviving tablets are begging letters asking the Egyptians for gold. We even have some practice tablets from teaching Egyptian scribes to do this.

I'm imagining a class on "begging for gold" being given to young Egyptian scribes.

> Clearly there is a useful distinction to make here, as clearly some jobs are disportionately robust to technological innovation. Clearly doctors and lawyers have not expected the same amount of replacement as software engineer. Maybe blue or white collar does quite capture it but captial and labour framing provides no explanation for any heterogeneous effects on different trades within the labour force.

I think that's post-hoc. A few years ago, you could have reasonably written "clearly software engineers have not expected the same amount of replacement as factory workers."

The only distinction that matters is worker vs. capitalist. And the jobs that seem "disproportionately robust to technological innovation," only haven't been subjected to it yet. And it's not even that hard to see: the AI companies are gunning for doctor and lawyer work. The main difference between those professions and software engineers, is that they have some level or worker-organization and regulatory protection.

Software engineers as a whole, were really, really dumb not embrace unionization before 2022, when we had a lot of economic power. Instead we got confused by our high salaries, and embraced libertarian propaganda like we were temporarily embarrassed billionaires.

>> Capital owners always want to split the workers to more and more groups so it’s easier to antagonize and manage them

> It's always the new accounts like yours with 47 votes who write the most depressing, hopeless, despairing and anti-capitalist slogans around here. Day after day. Why is that?

It's probably time for you to let the scales fall from your eyes, and realize that you're a worker and the the shareholders aren't looking out for your well-being. They want you to be paid as little as possible, so they can keep more for themselves.

> Whichever totalitarian country your little troll army represents, it would be fun if you let your own citizens comment on here without fear of penalty. I suspect they wouldn't mind being labeled white collar or blue collar, if they had an opportunity to speak freely. Or for that matter, why not open up your own country's social media so they can speak without fear of reprisal! Let's get going with that project, I can't wait to see the results!

Where did that come from? Do you think the GP is a Soviet apparatchik time-warped into the present-day? I wouldn't be totally surprised, given a lot of libertarian tracts were written during the cold war, and would pound on the Soviet Union to tar far more reasonable and moderate ideas.