multicast

Todays derivatives and their pricing are based on the premise that stock prices can not be predicted and behave like a Brownian motion system. If you take real time data from any stock and calculate in order how many times a stock went up in a row or down in a row you end up almost perfectly with a natural probability distribution. HFT's are involved in market making and arbitrage both of which already involves high speed, the later much more, and earning minuscule profits. There are ghost patterns who can be mined for a certain period of time but they are not solely calculated based on trading time series. They involve complex proprietary calculations, some machine learning and relationships between stocks. There is no pattern in the flow how a particular stock is trading.

Also from a long-term view its very questionable. How should a model be able to predict that in the middle of a high interest environment, a tech bubble burst and a dumping stock market in general, a new platform called Chat-GPT gets launched that basically carries the whole world's stock market to new heights which causes among other things retail investors to liquidate bonds and other high interest environment assets and flood it into the stock market. It is more than completely of the text-book. That can not be predicted. The million dollar spending guy is at the end the same way off as the guy who simply employs a 100 python line trend-following strategy.

Very interesting project, I like the overview. I also really like that you took the finance industry as a theme for your project.

>> Every company in the United States

Sorry for being so fussy but I highly recommended changing the word 'company' / not using it in the future, as the title is quite misleading. No private company in the US has to register with the SEC or has to file with the SEC. 'Investment advisors', who also go by other aliases like 'asset manager', have to file a 13F filing only if they a) are registered with the SEC due to fund marketing purposes and b) if they have, as you already mentioned, over $100 million dollars under management (not 'in holdings'). This is also why large family offices (.e.g. Bayshore Global Management of Sergey Brin) won't show up in any SEC records as they meet the second but not the first criteria - same goes pretty much for any non asset-management company (e.g. McDonald's) as they do not raise money for fund vehicles. However, you have take this into account on your website, and further below you wrote "money manager" which is correct in finance jargon.

I hope this gives you a better understanding, keep up the great work.

We live in times were non-problems are turned into problems. Simple responses should be generated truthfully. Truth which is present in today's data. Most software engineers and CEOs are white and male, almost all US rappers are black and male, most childminder and nurses are female from all kinds of races. If you want the person to be of another race or sex, add it to the prompt. If you want a software engineer from Africa in rainbow jeans, add it to the prompt. If you want to add any characteristics that apply to a certain country, add it to the prompt. Nobody would neither expect nor want a white person when prompting about people like Martin Luther King or a black person when prompting about a police officer from China.

Even though this is highly impressive, I think it is still important to stay rational and optimistic to see the other side of the coin.

Every industrial revolution and its resulting automation has brought not only more jobs but also created a more diverse set of jobs. Therefore also new industries are created. History rhymes, the ruling fears in such times have always been similar. Claims are being made but without any reasonable theories, expertise or provable facts (e.g. Goldman Sachs unemployment prediction is absolute bs). This is even more true when such related AI matters are thought about in more detail. Furthermore, even though employing tens of millions of people probably, only a few industries like content creation, movie etc. are affected. The affacted workforce of these industries is highly creative, as they are being paid for their job. The set of jobs today is big, they won't become cleaning staff nor homeless.

This technology has also to proof itself (Its technical potential is unlimited but financially limited by the size of funds being invested, and these are limited)

Transition to the use of such tools in corporations could take years, depending on the type and size and other parameters. People underestimate the inefficiencies that a lot of companies embody - and I am only talking about the US and some parts of Europe here. If a company did their job for 2 decades the same way, a sudden switch does not happen overnight. Affected people have ways to transition to other industries, educate themselves further and much more. Especially as someone living in the west, the opportunities are huge. And in addition, the wide array of different variables about the economy and the earth, and everything its differing societies are, comes into play: Some corporations want real videos made by real people; Some companies want to stay the way they are and compete using their traditional methods; Corporations are still going to hire ad agencies - ad agencies whose workflow his now much more efficient and more open to new creative spheres which benefits both customer and themselves. They list could go one endlessly.

Lots of people seem to fear or think about the alleged sole power OpenAI COULD achieve. But would that be a problem, would "another Alphabet" be a problem? Hundreds of millions of people benefited and are benefiting today from their products. They have products that are reliable and work (This forum consisting of tech experts is a niche case, nearly all people don't care at all if data on them is being used for commercial purposes). Google had a patent guaranteed monopoly on search. But here we have: an almost non patented or patentable market, an open source community, other companies of all sizes competing, innovation happening and much more. It is true that companies like OpenAI have more funds available to spend than others, but such circumstances have always driven competition and innovation. And at the end of the day, customers are still going to use the best product they have decided to be so.

I know I may be stating the obvious but: The economy and the world is a chaos system with a unpredictable future to come.

Possession of something does not prove nor equal ownership

> In effect, removing the wage floor just makes government bigger and almost everyone poorer.

Nope, this is absolutely false, it is exactly the other way around.

I am not quite sure what you are trying to accomplish with your whole comment. It neither makes sense nor is it strictly related to what I just posted. Did you want to debate an argument of mine, just post your personal views about labor in general or simply troll? I am always open for a discussion.

Besides are labor unions (you are referring to the British english version) heavily involved in labor and wage discussions in the USA. The US is literally a labor union hell, so I don't get your point on that matter either.

That's awful. That happens when bureaucrats, who often don't understand the most simple basics of economics, mandate socialist rules to private companies. The companies affected by these policies will now just fire people to keep staff cost on the same level as before, period. Thus less people trying to fulfill the role of the same amount of delivery guys as before. And such more stress to fulfill more orders in the same amount of time. In other words the situation for the delivery staff is worse than before. Doordash will now have a much higher staff turnover rate where drivers quit after a few months due to e.g. burnout and are replaced by new workers who intend to take the high wage but only for a few months. Serious long-term employee positions are now gone. And as always nobody forces anyone in any way to work for doordash - people have their own free will to choose to work for doordash for any dollar amount that is offered to them.

No minimum wage is what creates competition between companies, all industries affected by minimum wages already have and will have shitty wages for ages to come. Switzerland as an example is a country where cleaners (CHF 4K a month on average) without any serious education earn a bit less than a well educated professional mechanic and 2x more than a local branch bank employee in Germany, simply because of no minimum wage restrictions (also after monthly living expenses in Switzerland which are relatively high in certain aspects).

The majority representing non technical population, journalists and 50+ expert dependent bureaucrats (mostly law academics - never worked really) shitting their pants over alleged "ai" dangers indoctrinated by "ai" executives to push ahead regulation to secure their market position, or in the case of google because it makes their now shitty search business model obsolete in the long term, by creating entry barriers thus reducing competition.

Meanwhile a guy somewhere in Africa adjusting an answer probably stating that humans can do photosynthesis: bruh

This is getting silly on the same level like the EU demanding Netflix to pay a certain percentage to local movie funds or enforcing certain rules to platforms owned by Meta to protect "user interests" about which no user really cares about. Amazon is not a self-evident service run submissive on behalf of the citizens. It's a private company. Nobody forces to do business with amazon nor is one forced to buy anything from it. There is something called freedom of contract. Amazon could demand a 90% fee, if that's a fair price to do business / to pay is up to the business / the customer. Looks like a ton of businesses are ok with not selling at a discount elsewhere - they signed. As money, markets are amoral. Consumers choose what they choose. There is no such thing as a monopoly in a free market system. At anytime anyone can compete with Amazon or Google, the 'gatekeeper' argument does not hold at all, this is competition - there is no such thing as fairness in markets and that's good. Nobody forces you to use android where googles product can't be removed and nobody forces you to use amazon for being just amazon, the number 1 in e-commerce. If your the operator of a business and whining about 'fairness' you surely should go find a normal job. Free will and free markets is all what matters, adults are mature, nobody needs a gov organization like the FTC wanting to split up businesses. People want to use amazon, period. At the same time amazon has 0 obligations to them or anyone else. Be real and sane to yourself.

"Real" wealth management has a lot more legal work behind it since a non trivial portion of wealth management are topics like inheritance and planing for the next generation. Also wealth management is more focused on wealth preservation than generating high returns, that is more the focus of asset management (e.g. hedge funds, private equity etc.). But since this piece of software is focused on the individual the term seems applicable even though something like personal finance would be more suitable. For "real" wealth management you hire usually professionals. It has a lot of good and bad sides that a majority of people think that when it comes to finance they can compete on an equal level with experts who do this every day. But if your skilled you surely save a ton of fees.

That's interesting, thanks for sharing. I thought it is just the other way around.

Good point but there is still half of the worlds population missing which is due to missing auto configuration / proper support by the ISP. And I would guess that these numbers represent connections from home networks and not from people on the go using mobile data.