mshron

One of Aaronson's arguments in the article boils down to the idea that running a full universe simulation (without cheating) on a universe with the same physics as ours may just not be possible computationally; it seems physically plausible that you need a universe to compute a universe.

If that's true, then the simulators would need to be running in a different kind of universe than ours... in which case "ancestor simulation" doesn't really make sense.

Eh. I studied math at an elite university with a lot of people who ended up at these secretive quant hedge funds. They're undeniably brilliant, and as per GP also extremely motivated and hard working (brilliance alone doesn't cut it!).

They're also heavily dependent on collaboration with others, availability of data, the existence of the right tools, and so on. Unlike in comic books, raw intelligence alone doesn't get you very far. But put a bunch of very smart people together for a decade+ with a lot of money on their hands and you can definitely make magic happen.

Not OP but in my experience it’s more likely to Just Work with fewer glitches and at a higher video resolution. I’d like to get away from Zoom but with consulting work it’s the only thing I’ve found that typically works with clients on the first try and with the fewest artifacts.

Higher interest rates mean that investors can earn money by buying bonds, which are lower risk. Riskier investments (stocks, real estate, cryptocurrencies) are less attractive to investors as a result, unless they can provide even more return to compensate for the risk, which is unlikely.

I can't speak for the Japanese restaurants, but I had surprisingly delicious salmon nigiri just from a Seattle grocery store chain. Great flavor, and very inexpensive. I think it was a platter of 12 nigiri for what I'd expect to pay for a supermarket salmon maki in New York. This would have been at a QFC around 2015.

It sounds like you have a good path on your technical skills, so I'm going to suggest something else: take some humanities classes. Pick topics outside of technology that interest you, and learn how to communicate about them. Take as many seminar discussion and writing-heavy classes as you can. Hopefully they are there even at a technical university.

From a career perspective, programming skill is relatively easy to come by. Programming AND speaking AND good writing will put you on a better career path. You won't get stuck after a job or two when you know the tools of the trade but not how to handle things outside the compiler.

But also, just as a person who has to make it in this world, it's good to have more ways of understanding people and systems around you. Humanities students are enriched by taking science and math classes, and getting a new way of seeing things. Technical undergrads who learn to tolerate ambiguity and learn some history are rounder humans.

Yeah, and this is per week data, not per year too. So one year of being unvaccinated is equivalent to 17 years of car crash risk.

Table 1, in the linked XLS file for data through 24 September. You can see that it was originally closer to 0.1 (50x protection against death) but it's gone up to 1.1 over the last few months, I'm guessing as immunity has started to wear off.

Look all the way over at "Second dose", the age-standardized mortality rate is 1.1 per 100,000 vs 5.4 per 100,000 for the unvaccinated. 5x protection against death.