Recent submissions

Comment · 5 months ago
It won't impact the disclosure of key business details because it doesn't reduce the level of disclosure needed in the S-1 or the 10-K.
Comment · 7 months ago
Comment · 11 months ago
I'm calling BS on this one.

The claimed increase in ridership is modest (18%) off a low baseline (0 service on weekends) and occurred over a long time period (pre-pandemic to today.) They also expanded service during that period, which probably fully explains the increase in ridership. Certainly the reduction in fare ($1-->0) is nice for some people, but it's hard to imagine that it is actually decisive for a large portion of trips.

The estimates of traffic reduction and CO2 reduction just quote the city's numbers without establishing that "traffic cleared, and so did the air."

Key paragraphs:

> In 2021, the city starting [sic] running more buses, streamlining routes and seriously considering waiving the $1 fares. In 2023, the City Council voted to pay for a two-year fare-free pilot with Covid-19 relief funds.

...

> Ridership eventually grew to 118 percent of prepandemic levels, compared to the average nationally transit ridership-recovery levels of 85 percent.

Comment · 1 year ago
The belief is that MH370 was depressurized which would have killed the passengers. A better example is Germanwings 9525 where the locked door allowed the first officer to crash the plane.
Comment · 1 year ago
Plenty of docs making the better part of a million dollars.
Comment · 1 year ago
Your assertion runs counter to the original article, which says that acquiring external practice groups raises prices.
Comment · 1 year ago
These are two distinct issues.

The study you linked concerns whether the hospital is owned by a nonprofit or by a private equity group.

The question in this study is whether physicians work for their own practice or for the hospital directly, regardless of the ownership of the hospital.

Comment · 1 year ago
IPOs aren't what they once were. The burden of being a public company has increased (SOX and related public company costs are $5-10M/year), so companies are far more likely to stay private. That has created a positive feedback cycle as the private funding ecosystem has become increasingly robust, which is why you see so many $100B+ private companies.

Also keep in mind that the biggest companies during that bubble had peak market caps of ~500B and then lost ~90%, so 400-500B in losses each and total internet related losses of a couple trillion. If NVDA lost 90%, it would be down 4 trillion dollars, or twice that total just by itself.

AI company valuations collapsing would have meaningful impacts on the broader market. Big pension/mutual funds are important sources of capital across every sector, and if they're taking big losses on NVDA, GOOG, and a portfolio of privates, it will have a chilling effect on their other activity.

Comment · 1 year ago
Checkpoint inhibitors (which are the primary driver of improved cancer treatment over the last 15 years and generate > $50B/year in sales) generally don't look very good preclinically. Even their clinical data can be hard to interpret prior to a large scale trial, which led to them almost being shelved.

The catch here is that only two targets (PD(L)-1 and CTLA-4) turned out to work well in humans. All of the other immunotherapies that looked mediocre preclinically turned out to also be mediocre or entirely ineffective in humans.

Comment · 1 year ago
This is an oft-refuted trope that does harm to patients. Numerous randomized phase 3 studies show meaningful survival advantages for modern treatments.
Comment · 1 year ago
This isn’t really an issue in biotech since companies don’t have any revenue until late in their lives. Ie if I’m doing discovery work for a drug candidate today, it won’t generate revenue for 7+ years. So when if I have to amortize those costs over 5 years, that process will be complete by the time the project generates revenue.

I can’t speak to the pharma side as much, but since the 174 issue is most painful for companies with liquidity issues, I doubt it has a huge impact on them.

Comment · 2 years ago
Does this article actually provide evidence for the headline claim?
Comment · 2 years ago
Forested is not wilderness. Most forests have lots of roads, power lines running through them, etc. You're just trying to redefine a defined term.
Comment · 3 years ago
I don’t think he was ever offered a plea deal
Comment · 3 years ago
Western European countries are around 1 per 100,000 population per year. Seattle is 15x that rate based on those statistics. Seems bad.

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