millettjon
Joined 17 years ago
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Joined 17 years ago
https://www.ahri.org/omicron-incompletely-escapes-immunity-i... https://www.ahri.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/MEDRXIV-2021...
In addition to immunity based on T cells, the HIT depends on how individuals are networked. The original 60-70% estimates were based on 100% of people being vulnerable and also a random distribution of individuals interacting. In reality a small fraction of the population will have many interactions and once they become immune those transmission vectors away and the average R number drops. So based on the latest research plus observations of the worst hit places, 20-25% seems plausible.