mgh95
Joined 5 years ago
Joined 5 years ago
[1] https://www.aarp.org/money/retirement/peak-boomer-readiness/
Zitron's point is thay OpenAI and Anthropic have generated considerable sector concentration in GCP and Azure. If the LLM sector were to contract in volume, this concentration could harm cloud providers financials more than what would normally be expected based upon their prior revenue streams.
This has been a long running "heads we win tails you lose" with the older generations toying with the future dating back ~50+ years. Statements about "poor houses" don't mean very much when even uncapping the tax on wages for social security would only close ~61% of the gap [3]. Cuts are coming.
[1] See for example this hill (https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/4258578-the-day-the-soci...) article discussing he issue [2] https://www.brookings.edu/articles/bushs-shaky-retirement-pl... [3] https://www.crfb.org/socialsecurityreformer/
Second, take this for what it is: your product may not be compelling in its current form. Building it to many different markets will not make it compelling. If you had a stronger revenue, please share it. This sounds incredibly thin.
Third, dont mistake building the same thing 20 times for different verticals for bonifide software skills. When a SWE builds the thing they have built before its usually to learn a language which is the easiest part of software. There is a reason a common adage in software is "9 women cant make a baby in a month". Breath is no replacement for depth.
I'm very curious how much revenue this is generating.
It is possible this leads to a decrease in salary (and positions) but I do not believe the social commentary will pan out in the manner the author proposes. The people who most argue for vibe coding will themselves never accept responsibility for the technical outcomes.
See what happened in NYC regarding the consolidation of housing units.
1. cut back on SS and other benefits you can afford out of pocket 2. tax your income higher
I would wager they would choose 1. To this group, the taxes hurt worse than the benefit losses
For poor retirees: 1. cut benefits 2. don't cut benefits
I would wager they would choose 1
The other two commonly suggested fixes -- tax the wealthy and broad tax increases -- also fail in my opinion. The holes we are talking about are in the hundreds of billions per year and won't be fixed by taxing just the wealthy. A broad middle class tax increase will also likely be rejected as unpopular.
It really is my belief that a slow-motion failure here is best. If any fix occurs as the social security trust fund is at 0 cash and while the bond market is in revolt, there will be no fiscal room to maneuver to raise cash from the debt which forces rationing.