mech1234
Joined 6 years ago
Joined 6 years ago
https://www.chrisstucchio.com/blog/2019/basic_income_reduces...
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22493537
2. Assuming that the equilibrium point remains at the same price level is difficult. It requires assumptions about the elasticity of demand and the elasticity of supply. Generally, if UBI has disincentivized work, you would expect less work, less supply, and a higher equilibrium price.
3. Under a constant money supply, increased velocity of money does create inflation. This is fairly standard economic theory. Increased hoarding is definitively a decrease in the velocity of money.
4. Fair enough, but it requires you to trust the politicians to pass a tax that impacts only the extremely wealthy. This is not guaranteed or even likely.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/reservereq.htm...
The factory that makes hydraulic fluid for Tesla's presses that stamp out car parts is also part of the transportation supply chain, As is the oil refinery that supplies feedstock to the hydraulic oil vendor.
Throwing out a credit lifeline can be a practice that benefits everyone in times of crisis.
Fractional reserve banking has produced a tremendous amount of wealth for the world over recent centuries. It encourages assets to be used in a productive manner rather than hoarded, which is essentially wasteful.
Typically, the loans get paid off to the bank over time, and the bank originates new loans to continue to make a profit. Currently, there are two systemic risks:
1. If borrowers begin to default, the bank still must cover its expenses. Under stressful circumstances, they would normally not be allowed to draw down their reserve to meet their expenses. This change allows this. Once the economy recovers, the reserve requirements will be reimposed.
2. It encourages banks to continue issuing new credit to borrowers. This keeps economic activity flowing and prevents a situation where borrowers have nowhere to turn to find money to keep their business afloat until profitable times return.
1. On the margin, UBI reduces employment and production. This contributes to inflation.
2. On the margin, UBI increases consumption of consumer staples. This contributes to inflation.
3. On the margin, UBI increases the velocity of money. This contributes to inflation.
4. Under most assumptions, UBI increases government spending. Either taxes will rise, increasing the real cost of goods and services, or the money supply will increase, contributing to inflation.
UBI advocates should not dismiss these effects outright but should argue that they are small in comparison to the benefits of UBI. The lack of proper consideration of these arguments (and other arguments) by UBI advocates is pretty dang spooky.
QE was the bullet the Fed still had in 2008, and it is the bullet the Fed still has in 2020. It seems that QE worked better than the negative interest rates Europe used.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DSPIC96 (only goes back to ~1960, and the I think this is mean, not median, but also a huge enough trend that it is impossible to deny).
I suppose you think that current norms for these punishments are too lax. It's not easy to tell what you actually believe though. If you want to tease out your own actual beliefs on this, look up some advertising fraud cases and find one that was punished too loosely, and find one that was punished too severely.