martin-t
Joined 11 years ago
Joined 11 years ago
With code, there's always plenty of bugs, hacks, quick "temporary" solutions, etc. But in math, a proof either exists or it doesn't and they can always be automatically verified using tools like Lean.
And it's not just the final code either, now it's also the process of how to solve problems, approach debugging, etc. Every behavioral pattern that is useful will be extracted from everyone.
[0]: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2026/09/openai-chatgpt-...
Data centers might be easier but
a) Will have a lot of security. It's much easier for somebody with money and connections (and now even intelligence+knowledge) to assembly a defense force than it's for a ordinary people to learn how to make proper molotovs, let alone learn how to shoot. And they will know when it's coming because even today's LLMs are good enough to surveil the entire internet.
b) I don't think they burn that well. When Ukraine strikes oil depots or warehouses, you can easily find images of them burning. I haven't looked particularly hard but images of droned data centers burning are quite a bit rarer. (I haven't seen a single one before actively searching, they do burn, but that's with military grade explosives.)
Nor should using the work of hundreds of millions of people to find useful weights for the matrices without paying them be legal.
All real world power, including ownership (both physical and intellectual), is based on the ability to use violence.
As long as the majority - normal working people - have the potential to do more violence than those who want to control us, we have negotiating power. Minimum wage, 8 hour day, etc - those were all negotiated with the alternative being that those who wanted to pay us less and work more got killed.
We don't have democracy because somebody thought it was fair or just for people to rule themselves. We have democracy because in the past, people got angry, picked up rifles and shot enough authoritarians (and their submissives!) for the rest of them to understand the group with more people has more firepower and tends to win.
So now we periodically check which group has more people with ballots instead of bullets.*
With autonomous drones and robots, democracy stops being the local optimum.
And once we slide (are pushed off) into a new more stable state (pun not intended), we won't have the (fire)power to get out of it.
* actual AI, which does exactly what it should correctly, not a statistical model of behavioral patterns
* but indirect democracy is expressing a point in n-dimensional space (your opinion) by selecting one of a predefined set of points (parties/politicians available) - which is stupid - and the cracks are already starting to show as e.g. nobody wants more surveillance, yet we keep getting more of it in both EU and US
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The "permanent disempowerment" people keep talking about won't be a "rogue" model, it'll be doing exactly what told by the rich and connected.
I don't like this anthropomorphization. The model generated output as an extrapolation of the input - garbage in, garbage out.
> a term that seemed new and important to him, to the point that he repeated it, like, 10 times during this meeting
I see this often with people who want to imitate competence, or in their eyes emulate what they consider competence.
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Let me be blunt, this is not a failure to learn, this is a failure to scam. The "student" has a scammer mindset and his method failed to produce results - which are grades, not learning.
> simulation of scientific research
Yeah, just like what the student did was a simulation of studying. People like this simply want the fruits of labor without the labor.
I wonder if we reverse that. When engineers write shitty, slow, buggy code or when they're forced to do that by the company, they are effectively killing people.
After all, if I spend an hour dealing with a preventable bug, that's an hour of my live I am never getting back. Multiple that by the userbase and you get entire lifetimes.
Maybe that country still has some prestige somewhere else and people still want to apply but definitely not here. We've been watching the country sabotage itself and take a nosedive for a while now. The latest president is just the cherry on top.
I hope the rest of the world learns from this but I doubt it actually will.
Oh and Switzerland has 7 presidents (effectively). No kings, no dictators.
I have not used mercurial (though heard good things about it) but I saw a similar thing play out in Rust gamedev. There are 2 competing game engines, one better technically, the other much more popular. Now, if everyone made a purely technical decision, they'd pick the first one and eventually it would become the more popular one. Unfortunately, whenever I asked people why they chose the second one, they said because it was more popular. Tragedy of the commons.
If it's any consolation, maybe jj will take over. I haven't tried it yet (I use the staging area a lot in my workflow), but AFAIK they made the choice to be git-compatible which means it's not a choice between one or the other but lets people and teams migrate gradually.
I'd like to see more separation. If we are to keep indirect democracy, at least have separate representation for criminal law, economic decisions (taxes, healthcare, ...), social decisions (abortions, marriage, ...), etc. But even where to draw the lines is difficult. I think that too should be in some ways decided by voters.
Of course, in a country which can't get rid of FPTP/plurality, despite being objectively the worst voting system[0-3], that's never gonna happen. If you need to explain math to people to convince them, you've already lost, because people are not smart enough and definitely not educated enough.
[1]: https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/aaron-hamlin-voting-...
https://github.com/martin-t/rec-wars
https://github.com/rustcycles/rustcycles
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Blog: https://martin-t.github.io/
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If you wanna talk, my email can be easily found from my commits. We can arrange something reasonably secure/private too. I am not a huge fan of Overton windows but they make a very satisfying sound when a brick flies through them.