Recent submissions

Comment · 4 years ago
About the only upside is that China seems to have taken a big dose of their own poison.
Comment · 4 years ago
Reminding ourselves that you asked to be "pointed to some (graphs predicting more than 6 months)":

It is not clear when the image in first result was published, but given that it includes error bars for dates from March 2020 onwards, I would assume this is the result of modelling performed earlier than March 2020. It covers until October 2020.

Result number two is a direct link to this paper:

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/196234/covid-19-imperial-res...

It was published in March 2020, and predicts data till March 2021

Result number three is a direct link to this news story (with an ironic headline, given result number 4 below):

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54831334

It was published in November 2020, and predicts data until July 2021

Result number four is a direct link to this news story:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53392148

It was published in July 2020, and predicts data until July 2021

This is the garbage that was fed to the UK populace on a daily basis - it was like the "modellers" had taken charge.

Will you accept that graphs predicting more than 6 months of results were in common circulation?

Comment · 4 years ago
>Are you being deliberately dense?

No, I'm not from the US, so the colloquial usage of "gas" as "fuel for cars" slipped my mind.

The US is also a net exporter of crude oil, so all I've said so far still applies.

How has the Ukraine war affected gasoline prices? Are you just talking about the state you live in, or US-wide?

Comment · 4 years ago
How did the US screw up being the world's biggest producer of natural gas, and being energy independent?
Comment · 4 years ago
>the real headwinds are the general economy and TikTok

Right, and not Apple's actions.

Comment · 4 years ago
It'll be like the wars in Iraq and Libya. Vitally important at the time, but you can't find anyone now who will say they supported them.

Then again, how can you blame people? Most people do what they are told, and the person who glared at you last year for breaking some Covid rule or the other could equally likely have a conversation with you today about some horrible outcome they've had thanks to Covid restrictions, and never link the two.

Comment · 4 years ago
FB started sinking money into the Metaverse long before that.
Comment · 4 years ago
Three huge assumptions here -

"health system collapse" was the inevitable outcome of any other approach to dealing with Covid.

"health system collapse" is worse than all of the other present and future side-effects, including the effects of denying healthcare to huge numbers of people over the past 2.5 years.

"health system collapse" didn't happen anyway. At least where I am (UK), it's increasingly clear that our response to Covid has blown open all of the existing cracks, and it's hard to say that we "saved" the NHS.

Comment · 4 years ago
>the millions of people who died, had long-term illness, or were caring for their relatives weren’t contributing to the economy.

They were dominated (at least by the publicly-available figures here in the UK) by retired folks. No, in a purely pragmatic sense, they don't contribute much to the economy, especially as any wealth they do have gets immediately re-distributed on death anyway.

If we were talking about some terrible disease (like Smallpox, for example), where the young and old alike died in huge numbers, then the argument would be different.

>Can you give details on where you believe this happened?

Are you kidding me? Maritime shipping and aviation are two obvious examples.

Comment · 4 years ago
>The US has given over $8B in aid

That's throwaway change, compared to the amount spent on Covid.

>Also natural gas prices are going to hurt this winter.

The US is the world's biggest producer of natural gas, at least while fracking is still largely permitted.

Comment · 4 years ago
Their income and operating margin has almost halved, compared to 2021. Their free cash flow is 1/50th of the previous few quarters. Those are truly horrible results.

FB was a money printing machine, but they trashed it.

Comment · 4 years ago
The two will be forever conflated (and there's an excellent argument that Putin made his move on new territory while the rest of the world had weakened itself with years of self-imposed Covid restrictions). However, literally shutting down globe-sized sectors of the economy for months or years at a time, with no notice, to me is obviously the biggest cause of what we see now (and what is to come).

Exactly how does the war in Ukraine economically affect, for example, the US?

Comment · 4 years ago
Why were "they" wrong? Is it because the issues of each successive development in mass media made those of the previous iteration look quaint? It's easy to look back on (for example) TV as a harmless diversion, but it was a radical development in the dissemination of visual information.
Comment · 4 years ago
WW3 started years ago, and we have only just started to realise. The objective of this war is to turn the citizens of your enemies' countries into useless, self-absorbed, self-hating nobodies.

For those of you who have read The Hobbit, I see the "Culture War" as something more akin to the scene in that book where the trolls were turned to stone. That is - while we may think we are involved in some great "culture war", fighting the (online) forces of anti-democracy, bigotry, racism, etc etc - actually all that is intended is that we are arguing amongst ourselves.

Comment · 4 years ago
Why not? It's the most efficient way I could think of, to display the sheer quantity, timeline, and content of the "Covid predictions" that we were shown in the UK. They are easily clickable, to show the original context (typically a news story or press release). You'll also note that practically all of them extend for at least 6 months.

Also, you "asked for some". There they are - there's a lot of them.

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