jpfed
Joined 12 years ago
Joined 12 years ago
First, one of the most popular arguments against action addressing climate change has been that climate change is simply fake. A mass-casualty event would make that argument less effective.
The gun control debate in the United States is linked with people's perceptions of personal agency. Often, a mass casualty event perpetrated with a gun is ended by a gun being used on the perpetrator (sometimes, it's the perpetrator killing themselves, and sometimes it's police killing them). Many people imagine it would be possible to end those events as a bystander with a gun. But I think that it would be much harder to get people to fantasize about being a hero that stops a mass casualty event resulting from extreme heat. Such an event starts and ends when Mother Nature says it does, and it seems like it should be pretty clear to people that the only way personal agency is relevant is in the act of preparing the environment.
I haven't read the book, but if the event the book describes kills hundreds of people or more, it seems like a plausible seed that news coverage can accrete around.
If they're just adding up each candidate's votes, that's not how approval is supposed to be tabulated in a multi-winner context (which is more complicated); see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proportional_approval_voting
But I'm disillusioned. Many non-plurality methods (including approval) can effectively solve the spoiler problem (i.e. satisfy IIA)... but I no longer think that spoilers are the absolute most important problem to solve.
The most important problem is single-seat districts creating anti-majoritarian, disproportional legislatures. Because of how people geographically sort themselves among the likeminded, even independent districting commissions will not be able to effectively prevent anti-majoritarian legislatures.
For this reason, I believe that we would greatly benefit from explicitly proportional representation. This can be accomplished through cardinal or ordinal means - I no longer care about that dimension. That doesn't mean that we wouldn't enjoy some incremental benefit from approval or really any non-FPTP system. We would. Seattle should go ahead and do its thing. But the fight for better forms of democracy can't stop with any system that retains single-seat districts.
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