Recent submissions

Comment · 5 years ago
If you think facts persuade people then you do not understand how people work. That delusion is what is frustrating you.

Facts require three things:

- observation (the temperature is 15°C),

- omission (the temp outside my home, omitting the rest of the universe), and

- trust (my thermometer is probably working).

Almost all disagreement about Facts is really about what we’re omitting & what we trust, not the observation.

Comment · 5 years ago
These results are not ergodic.

ensemble average != time-series average.

In order to make this claim you need to follow the same people and survey them throughout their lives, as opposed to a group snapshot in time.

Comment · 5 years ago
Bitcoin is a public ledger. I dont understand how a zero-privacy blockchain would be the biggest enabler of ransomware? Isnt TCP/IP a bigger enabler?

SHA-256 came out of the NSA. Didnt the FBI retrieve the Bitcoin from the pipeline ransomware attack? They have lots of tradecraft at their disposal that we cannot know of.

Comment · 5 years ago
Hustlers gotta hustle.
Comment · 5 years ago
I just mean that generally when supply is limited and demand goes up (which I think is the case in the UK as well), prices rise.
Comment · 5 years ago
I heard there are more realtors in the US than listings.

That'll do it.

Comment · 5 years ago
Ah that's new to me thanks! I recently saw numbers showing something different (wish I could find that link), and I was remembering this interview from 2019 - https://www.tvo.org/video/the-worlds-shrinking-problem

I found it interesting that the authors looking at the history of efforts to financially simulate birthrate found that it has never worked to reverse the decline. @21:15

Comment · 5 years ago
Not in July :P It can get very hot (>40C) & sticky in the valley.

Can be very cold in Jan/Feb, but often too cold to snow so it can be more sunny than say Toronto, and there's a ton of outdoor activities nearby to enjoy like ski hills & trails, snowshoeing, and skating.

Comment · 5 years ago
US has one of the best demographics in the Western world. Millennials are larger than Boomers. Plus the US can use immigration to decide what population they want. Countries not built on immigration cannot really do this in practice. see Japan.
Comment · 5 years ago
It's not meant to be bigoted (that's you mind reading) - it's meant to give context to non Canadians. But I probably should have said "Quebec Families".
Comment · 5 years ago
Good luck.

With a shrunken generation of family to help due to 30+ years of one-child policy, and almost no social support (China does not really have socialized healthcare in practice) there's no one to help take care of larger families. But there is a HUGE number of rapidly aging parents and grandparents to take care of.

Add a culture that puts accumulating wealth as the #1 virtue, and it becomes nearly impossible to reverse a low birth rate.

In Canada Quebec has been paying French families to have more kids for a very long time. Today Quebec has the lowest provincial birthrate in Canada.

Comment · 5 years ago
In a lot of ways Ottawa is hard to beat.

But dont tell anyone, the "boring" reputation is a feature not a bug.

Watching the value of my house double recently suggests the word is getting out - although I get it that it's also that there's more realtors than listings, and of course money printer go Brrrr.

Comment · 5 years ago
Belarus controls 20% of the world's potash, so nope.

Geopolitics is much more a game of Go than Call of Duty.

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