johnvanommen

Ah I see we have worked at the same company

\S

Possibly the most interesting lesson from your graph is that the trillions in stimulus during Covid caused productivity to CRATER.

I noticed this anecdotally; in 2021 it was especially noticeable that people were just phoning it in at work, and “quiet quitting” was a meme.

A16Z stands for the first and last letters of their names, 16 is the number of characters in between.

> WSJ just needs to sound alarm bells so people keep paying for their crappy journalism, and thus everything they write becomes alarmist slop.

The WSJ is a ghost of what it used to be.

TLDR: the article describes stagflation in a novel way.

Yes, it’s happening, just as it did in the seventies. Invest appropriately.

> The US is cooked. China is the new economic and industrial super power.

The US economy has outperformed every economy on earth for the last fifteen years.

China is at a permanent disadvantage because the United States and Russia are the largest producers of petroleum and natural gas on earth.

Anyone who thinks China is going to be passing the US anytime soon is uninformed.

> Kind of interesting, when compared to the hubris from American frontier labs.

One Man’s “hubris” is another man’s “marketing campaign.”

Drama sells.

Even funnier:

The biggest of the "sharpening with AI" models, if you let 'em go, they'll turn you into a celebrity on accident.

If you go to the Topaz AI forums on Facebook, you'll see examples of where the AI sharpening tool went off the rails and turned a blurry photo of someone (typically the user who bought the software, who is trying to clean up their own photos) into whichever celebrity that is in the AI model who resembles them.

IE, it might turn a photo of YOU into a photo of Robert Downey Jr.

> Letting the kernel use SSD based swap space for something this big would be a good way to destroy its cumulative write endurance over a period of just a couple months.

Optanes are a good option here, right?

I bought mine for $100 for each 128GB DDR4 stick. I believe write performance is off-the-charts on these, besides the fact they're c-h-e-a-p.

> Jacobin is more like social democrat

”The goal of socialism is Communism.” - Lenin

It’s always sold as “a little bit of socialism.”

Every country, every time in history.

The author of this transparent propaganda is a student in a college. When I was his age, I was a socialist too. It’s just youth and inexperience.

> Given that you cannot force someone to hire anyone at a given wage what is the solution?

The author writes for Jacobin, which promotes a failed ideology where you CAN force people to “hire anyone at a given wage.”

It’s an advertisement for a failed ideology.

The author writes for Jacobin.

Of course it’s promoting Communism.

The one thing I miss about driving to work.

> the moment I realized it's a kind of cloud OS

The foundation of this is thirty years old:

Mark Andreesen founded a company to do what Amazon did: Loudcloud. This was cloud computing, BEFORE AWS was public. Loudcloud was founded in the nineties; AWS opened its APIs in 2006.

Loudcloud failed and became Opsware. Opsware was server automation.

Its competitor was Bladelogic.

Luke Kanies, from BladeLogic, founded Puppet. Puppet was open source, and steamrollered over nearly every installation of BladeLogic and Opsware in existence, because you can’t beat free.

Folks from BladeLogic migrated to jobs at DCOS.

DCOS was steamrollered by Kubernetes, the same way Puppet steamrollered BladeLogic.

The author of the piece predicts that open weight models will steamroller everything next.

I fear he’s right.

I worked for Opsware and BladeLogic.

I watched it happen in real time.

Financially, Andreesen’s wealth stems from Opsware. He is known for Mosaic, but Opsware put him on the map, financially. HP bought them.

If one wants to follow in Andreesen’s footsteps, study how he did it at Opsware.

Conveniently, there is a book.

“The Hard Thing about Hard Things.”