jeremysalwen
Joined 15 years ago
Joined 15 years ago
Let's say there are four billion possible seeds. There are four billion possible ways we could watermark the generation. We could say "we will choose seed 1, that way we will know exactly what output it produced", we could say "we will choose seed 2, that way we will know exactly what output it produced"... etc etc. Now, if we decide "not to watermark", we STILL must choose a seed. So we are actually still applying one of the watermarks, the only difference is we are not careful to remember which one. Could some seeds give a better or worse answer to some specific prompt? Yes. Could choosing a random "watermark" to apply be better or worse on average than choosing a random seed to apply? No. It's mathematically impossible.
This is like an open source project changing their seed from "12321" to "43", and saying that because we changed the seed, the quality is "necessarily lower".
I don't think "intellectual poisoning" is really the mechanism that harms the mathematics community.
The harm is if you have a community of mathematicians who are focused on expanding human understanding, then having instant access to a bunch of AI proved results muddies the water about who has contributed what. If someone could scoop any significant theorem at any time by pointing an AI at it, how do you really demonstrate that you have created new understanding? Or that your new understanding is about something important? How do you prove that the AI needed your new concepts to be able to solve it?
I do see how this is a problem in terms of assigning credit, but I think the cat is already out of the bag in terms of these models being capable. Even without AI labs spending millions of dollars to solve millennium prize problems, there are plenty of other people who will use them to pick low hanging fruit. I don't think any social solution is going to make things go back to the way they were, where you could share your progress towards a famous open problem without risking someone "scooping" you within a couple of days.
I think that the most likely outcomes are either mathematics becomes more secretive, or there is a more deliberative approach to assigning credit than who was "first" to solve some problem. In the former case, this may slow down progress, and in the latter case, this could mean that credit would become more subjective, and be a continual source of controversy.
It seems like restrictions on the model talking about non famous people might have been responsible for the appearance of the models being unable to do this.