igor47

Joined 14 years ago

Karma
1,388
Submissions
533
Member since
Oct 22
Igor Serebryany https://igor.moomers.org

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/igor47; my proof: https://keybase.io/igor47/sigs/Rtav_ylpc0MVG1aAe6Nz5crMoq0uixgf9H2pw4tEEtc ]

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Recent submissions

Comment · 20 days ago
Comment · 20 days ago
Comment · 20 days ago
> Unfortunately, Nadella also refers to AI as “super intelligence” throughout the post.

What's the deal with these clowns? Nadella's estimated net worth is like $600M. Is that still not enough for him to buy himself a spine?

Comment · 25 days ago
What does this have to do with internalizing costs to businesses? By your logic, the government should just subsidize all consumer goods... Which, okay maybe I actually agree with you? (Jk I'm not that much of a socialist. I think markets are great, and we should leverage them by fully pricing externalities like road damage or pollution, enabling the market to solve some of our big problems)
Comment · 25 days ago
Let those consumers pay for it then!
Comment · 25 days ago
If the costs of trucking is internalized, it then factors into the cost of goods shipped by truck. This makes it possible for competitors like rail or local produce to complete, which then allows consumers to save money. On the other hand, if the cost is externalized, we secretly pay more without even having the possibility of paying less.
Comment · 1 month ago
Two questions: 1. Have the "fud-spreaders" actually held anything back so far? Seems like we're barreling forward, even though some of the FUD spreaders appear to be in charge of the main companies. 2. Do you, like Huang, see absolutely no risk in our current approach? Is everyone who disagrees with your perspective on this subject just plain wrong? Misguided, or actively malicious/in bad faith?
Comment · 1 month ago
I listened to this podcast and it was maddening. A few of his frames :

AI is just software, nothing new to see here.

AI safety is primarily a sandboxing problem.

There is no collective action problem, and every company should just slow down if they think they need to slow down.

There is no need for regulation because the existing incentives in the market keep companies from acting badly, which is why no company has ever done anything bad.

If something bad does happen, then we can regulate after the fact.

We will end up creating more jobs than we destroy, so don't worry about it.

Our kids might forget a whole bunch of stuff or never learn it in the first place. But don't worry, they'll come up with new things to learn instead.

The only way to get safety is to move faster because then we will more quickly arrive at safety.

Recursive self-improvement is just what we've always done.

The real danger is alarmism that might scare the public and the young people.

Nothing bad can happen, it can only good happen.

Comment · 1 month ago
No dude, it was an analogy. Sorry to pick on you, you're just another ignorant uninformed take in this thread, but come on. This technology is progressing at an insane rate, the shit it's doing now is science fiction from just a year or two ago, and people just keep on moving the goal posts, it's maddening. The technology is unpredictable and that in itself has risks. You must realize that the window of possibility is widening the further into the future we go! Can you pick people with epistemology you trust and see if there's anything you can learn in this moment? Can you try to challenge your own ideas instead of retreating into comfortable certitude? There are real risks here, they are worth taking seriously, and serious people are doing so!
Comment · 1 month ago
I worked on this product, which is available free for personal use: https://www.jitx.com/

I recommend the CLI, which I wrote specially to enable an easy LLM workflow: https://docs.jitx.com/en/latest/getting-started/cli/index.ht...

There's a companion Claude skill: https://github.com/JITx-Inc/jitx-skills

I would bet that using this, you could get pretty close to shippable PCB on first try. This is being used by some pretty big players to design complicated high frequency boards, and that's the main focus of the product, but it can handle basic designs just fine.

Comment · 1 month ago
Found the evals fan!
Comment · 2 months ago
Visions of vast data centers surrounded by fields of browning grass, in which aging, rusting, formerly extremely expensive hardware is spending billions of compute cycles looking at anime catgirls
Comment · 2 months ago
Warmer water holds less dissolved gases of all kinds, including CO2. You can see this yourself by heating water in your kitchen. Well below the boiling point, you can observe tiny bubbles, which are composed of nitrogen and oxygen dissolved in the water coming out of solution. The oceans will eventually become carbon sources, not carbon sinks, if they warm enough, but that's not projected to happen this century.

However, there are regions of the oceans which currently absorb lots of CO2 which will absorb much less as time goes on. One important example is the AMOC, which, by turning over lots of water, helps sink surface dissolved CO2 into the deeper ocean. In recent years, oceanographers have observed a weakening of the AMOC, which was predicted but is happening much earlier than expected. This is one of the important planetary tipping points, which could cause a dramatic shift in the planet's climate.

But don't worry -- the Trump administration is defunding programs like the Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, decommissioning the Ocean Observatories Initiative, and is planning to shutter NOAA's research arm altogether -- thus solving the problem once and for all.

Comment · 2 months ago
Back when I still used Google, in the dark old days of mid-late 2025, it sure seemed like the SEO was winning. Once you got to page 3, where the ads ran out, you would then smoothly transition into total scam. A common one was where they'd show you scraped SO (remember that one?) content which somehow placed higher in the rankings than actual SO, and there'd be like 3 of those in various skins. I assumed they wanted to show me more ads, though those were much more easily handled with an ad blocker, unlike Google's search results. I assume it's continued to deteriorate from there, does anyone know?
Comment · 2 months ago

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