htfu
Joined 7 years ago
Joined 7 years ago
In all seriousness though, what a life for these researchers, climbing trees and checking shit.
A 3B model on a phone would've picked this up ffs.
Anyways, I was sexually assaulted (well molested and woke up before anything more could occur) once and still sometimes basically violently fly out of bed when startled awake. Something about body integrity and how vulnerable one is while asleep gets a bit primal somehow. Can't believe adding drugging and actual rape and it being ones partner to it would do any good...
What is the utility of knowing the odds of something? Well that depends entirely on the something - it needs to be actionable, affect something that is not merely itself, whereby it can lessen friction. But this "actually valuable?" function is entirely decoupled from the prediction market trade volume and odds! You can make bank contributing to entirely useless odds, and equally make little on something where a clear prediction actually solves problems.
Those who stand to benefit from the output information (if ignoring insider bullshit) don't have to play. Hell if it's something important enough and they really have an edge, why would they play at all, if the information or prediction truly is valuable?
VCs don't exactly make plays on merely doubling their investment, right? Plus who's to say those sitting on valuable modeling powers actually have the capital to meaningfully participate? Even literally knowing the future wouldn't mean much if you're always only betting fifty bucks and spending the proceeds on heroin or tokens or whatever else is fashionable these days.
That will probably come a lot sooner.
Of course both models and tooling will need to be far more powerful for all this, but it doesn't exactly seem sci-fi to me.
Once system is built it could run detailed analysis on its usage and figure out what parts seem to be confusing or slow for users, and simply refine, deploy, keep analyzing, rinse and repeat.
The biggest upside is probably that workers could also simply request features, have Joe sign off on them (would get messy otherwise) and minutes later they actually roll out.
To me anyways most systems are a PITA because they do so much and your own organization only utilizes a small subset. Good systems actually let you turn off stuff you don't use so that users don't even know it's possible and don't have to drown in menu options, but that's still rare enough. And good luck getting dev focus on your specific requests regarding the parts of the system most important to your specific company, since there are a zillion other things and hundreds or thousands of other customers.
Something literally tailored to what you need will surely be the norm eventually. In five years or whatever I'm sure we'll be plenty on our way towards something like that.
But again just like LLM training in general this all requires having something existing to analyze and work off of. So yeah nobody will be going from paper to custom agent-built system.
When it works for pure generation it's beautiful, when it doesn't it's ruinous enough to make me take two steps back. I'll have another go at getting with all the pure agentic rage everyone's talking about soon enough.
Stability is fine, iOS dev is pleasant which is important, AI stuff is meh (notification summaries are great though) and Siri is getting Gemini. And the thing about the EU isn’t remotely true. Opposite if anything, since EU brought us usb-c and alternative app stores.
And the lock-in thing isn’t to be discounted. Emotional and practical as well. Once your files are on iCloud, photos as well, universal clipboard built in, AirPods automatic transfers, instant MFA fill, some apps lack android versions, the devices just geling… switching would for me mean dropping my watch as well, and losing out on a bunch of Mac side features. Androids can’t merely be “as good” or even slightly better, they would need to utterly kick iPhone's ass for years and years to even get me contemplating a switch.
Interactive stuff, within content. A mini game in a game, school homework of course, or "whichever text box the viewer looks at longest by WorldCoin Eyeball Tracker for Democracy x Samsung" for an interstitial turned captcha.
Better hope your taste isn't too bland and derivative!
Amazon and Ali soon lap the field by allowing coupon farming, but somehow eventually end up where they started.