hgibbs
Joined 13 years ago
Joined 13 years ago
To me, I can see at least two (potentially different) cost functions that a Wordle strategy can aim to minimise. Firstly, you can try to minimise the expected number of guesses, and secondly you can try to minimise the expected number of guesses conditional on never losing the game. In principle you could optimise for the first but not the second by allowing a small list of hard words to take > 6 guesses on average.
Part of my point is the lack of an absolute definition of optimal: strategies are only optimal up to the specified coat function.
I suspect their are elements of both: I believe some members of the rationality community do routinely think in a different way to many other people, but I also believe that there is some post hoc rationalisation (as you put it) in the community as well.