gottorf
Joined 3 years ago
Joined 3 years ago
In fact, this condition might be the cleanest definition of "bloat".
Only true for federal inmates, which is <10% of all prisoners in the US. When you take into account the rest of the prison population, the majority are in fact imprisoned for violent crimes[0] (homicide, assault, rape, robbery, etc.).
> In reality, a murderer is no more likely to commit fraud or possess drugs than anyone else, and someone kiting checks is no more likely to be a murderer
I'm flabbergasted that anyone could believe this on its face. Do you not think that the behavioral factors that drive someone to murder correlates with a whole host of other antisocial behaviors?
In actual reality, studies in criminology repeatedly show both that people who commit one kind of crime tend to commit other kinds of crime; and that there's a strong power law distribution in crime, where an extreme minority commit the great majority of crime. Most people do not commit any. It's farcical to suggest that the average Joe off the street is as likely to be a fraudster as a convicted murderer, or really as any other kind of criminal.
[0]: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-numbers-dont-lie-its-...
Given that America has a homicide rate an order of magnitude higher than its peer countries, it stands to reason that its overall criminality is higher, and therefore we can expect to see more people imprisoned per capita than in those other countries.
I'm actually not aware of any place in the US that routinely administers what could be considered a speedy trial. It's a shame, really, but perhaps an inevitable side-effect of the ever-increasing burden on the part of the prosecution. Pre-Warren Court, it was normal for criminal cases to take days between arrest and trial.
> Our jails are full because we have unnecessarily long sentences and a prison system that is meant to be punitive instead of rehabilitative
I make the point in a sibling comment that the US actually has lower incarceration rates compared to its peer nations, relative to their homicide rates. Our jails are full because we have a lot more crime. We can agree to disagree on the "root causes" thereof.
Besides, you can look at the straightforward statistic of homicides to gauge the overall criminality of a population. The US has a homicide rate an order of magnitude higher than its peer countries. By this measure, the US actually has an under-incarceration problem, not one of over-incarceration. Wikipedia has the US incarceration rate at 542 per 100k, compared to Sweden at 92, Switzerland at 77, or South Korea at 115; compare that to the intentional homicide rates of the US at 5.763 per 100k, Sweden at 0.867, Switzerland at 0.504, and South Korea at 0.489. If incarceration scaled with the homicide rate, those other countries are actually much more prison-heavy than the US!
> the grift of for-profit prisons
Only a single-digit percentage of prisoners are in for-profit prisons, and roughly half of the states do not use them at all. I dislike them for the obvious perverse incentive, but it's a great exaggeration to say that the system puts largely innocent people in prison to line the pockets of for-profit prison execs.
For better or worse, American society is very good at sorting people, so the HN crowd and other intelligentsia usually doesn't encounter the bottom 5% that wreak havoc.
Crazy that Heroku with its head start has become abandonware. Goes to show that no incumbent is immune to change.
There isn't a true (and viable) "weaker federal government, stronger state and local governments" party in this country at the moment. And the two party system being what it is, voters have to pick one out of two choices, neither of which will represent the voter's beliefs fully, or even mostly. Even the "pro-Trump MAGA camp" disagrees with itself on a ton of issues, perhaps more so than the camp on the opposite side[0]. I personally know many people who voted for Trump in 2024 and would describe themselves, ironically or not, as MAGA, who all did so for different reasons and are from very diverse backgrounds.
Though, if there indeed was a peep from any of them against this particular project, would you even hear it in today's fragmented informational spheres?
[0]: https://bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjso....
Emirates claims no subsidies at all; BYD's disclosed direct grants alone are about a third of their cumulative lifetime profit, let alone indirect subsidies.