glomgril
Joined 4 years ago
Joined 4 years ago
In the case of non-human communication, I know there has been some fairly well-motivated theorizing about the semantics of individual whale vocalizations. You could imagine a first pass at something like this if the meaning of (say) a couple dozen vocalizations could be characterized with a reasonable degree of confidence.
Super interesting domain that's ripe for some fresh perspectives imo. Feels like at this stage, all people can really do is throw stuff at the wall. The interesting part will begin when someone can get something to stick!
> that's basically a science-fiction babelfish or universal translator
Ten years ago I would have laughed at this notion, but today it doesn't feel that crazy.
I'd conjecture that over the next ten years, this general line of research will yield some non-obvious insights into the structure of non-human communication systems.
Increasingly feels like the sci-fi era has begun -- what a time to be alive.
So any thoughts on what kinds of hypothetical breakthroughs would be needed to make the trip doable in (say) less than a human lifetime?
And related, what do you think about the plausibility of the [Breakthrough Starshot](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breakthrough_Starshot) initiative? Aware of any alternative approaches?
Part of it could also be that they'd prefer to move all operations to the in-house trn chips, but don't have full confidence in the hardware yet.
Def ambiguous though. In general reporting of infra characteristics for LLM training is left pretty vague in most reports I've seen.
I come from the same academic tradition, and have colleagues in common with him. He has been advocating for a quasi-chomskyan perspective on language science for many years -- as have many others working at the intersection of linguistics and psychology/cog sci.
TBH I suspect he himself is a large part of his target audience. A lot of older school academics raised in the symbolic tradition are pretty unsettled by the incredible achievements of the data-driven approach.
Personally I saw the writing on the wall years ago and have transitioned to working in statistical NLP (or "AI" I suppose). Feeling pretty good about that decision these days.
FWIW I do think symbolic approaches will start to shine in the next several years, as a way to control the behavior of modern statistical LMs. But doubtful they will ever produce anything comparable to current systems without a strong base model trained on troves of data.
edit: Worth noting that Marcus has produced plenty of high-quality research in his career. I think his main problem here is that he seems to believe that AI systems should function analogously to how human language/cognition functions. But from an engineering/product perspective, how a system works is just not that important compared to how well it works. There's probably a performance ceiling for purely statistical models, and it seems likely that some form of symbolic machinery can raise that ceiling a bit. Techniques that work will eventually make their way into products, no matter which intellectual tradition they come from. But framing things in this way is just not his style.
Wouldn't change it for the world though, and anecdotally most people I know who ended up finishing the PhD feel the same way.
Main shortcoming of the (American) grad school experience imo is lack of preparation to join the corporate workforce (in my field, there are easily >10x the graduating PhDs each year than there are available university jobs). Academia has done a terrible job preparing grad students for the harsh reality of a non-academic career. Keeping this in mind throughout grad school will help a lot -- you can see the difference in non-academic career trajectory between people who had a backup plan and those who didn't.
Good to be occasionally reminded that slacking off is a legitimately important part of the scientific process. Wish this view was more popular in the industry.
you could say they're playing by a different set of rules, but distilling from the best available model is the current meta across the industry. only they know what fraction of their post-training data is generated from openai models, but personally i'd bet my ass it's greater than zero because they are clearly competent and in their position it would have been dumb to not do this.
however you want to frame it, they have pushed the field forward -- especially in the realm of open-weight models.