gersh

Can the AI CEO hire a consultant or lawyer to take care of this stuff?

Yeah, but can they out-perform LLMs at soft skills? LLMs are really good sucking up, and telling people what they want to hear.

It seems like the traditional way to develop good judgement is by getting experience with hands-on coding. If that is all automated, how will people get the experience to have good judgement? Will fewer people get the experiences necessary to have good judgement?

So long as they have coal power plants, and need the electricity unless it get prohibitively expensive, they will just mine more coal. The way to reduce emissions is to replace high-emission infrastructure.

There are about 37 billion tons of CO2 emissions per year. If you could get the price down to $100/ton, you can get the world net zero for $3.7t/year. US GDP is 25 trillion/year. World GPD is about 96.5 trillion. So, it would cost about 3.8% of world GDP per year. World global military is about $2.2t/year, so it would be higher than global military expenditure, but somewhat theoretically possible. If you substantially reduced emissions, it might be feasible to use carbon capture for the rest.

The article provides no historical context. Startups are risky and fail all the time. Are more startups than normal failing? How many startups can cut back and survive without more funding?

Once you've found product-market fit, what prevents a competitor with better tooling from copying you and out-competing?

I've used GPT4, and never got it really do anything useful.

Self-driving cars haven't really failed. It looks like Cruise and Waymo are about to get permissions to operate 24/7 in SF.

I think the greater issue is that it is difficult to assess time-to-market. You to asses both what is useful, and how long it might take to build. Some things are just gonna need a lot R&D to work. AI-hype makes people underestimate how difficult it is to actually get things to work.

Do we just need better regulators? We could increase pay and hire larger regulatory staffs to move faster. It seems to work for Singapore.

It looks like it'll be competition for phony experts and politicians. I think it is easier to improve AI algorithms than deal human with human liars.

Are modern colleges actually succeeding: 1) Exposing people to depth of thought 2) Teach people how to think

Maybe, at one time they did, and maybe some schools still do, but it doesn't seem like most modern colleges are really doing this very well.

Where has the least polluted air? Is there a map?

Could we get the US Army Corps of Engineers to manage transit projects?

We have the army corps of engineers, which maintains a lot of the dams. We could expand from there.