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Halloween is easily one of the best holidays of the year. There's no seriousness or weight to it, there's no need to make travel plans, there's no need for a big dinner. You have no obligation to do anything, or you can go as deep into it as you want. It's entirely fun, and at least where I live, the weather is at the absolute best. It's going to be low 60s, sunny, and peak foliage today. I loved it as a kid, dressing up and going house to house; then in college/kid-free partying, and now with kids of my own to see it through their eyes. The only downside is that the next day it's November, and DST ends.

DoorDash, at least for a while for me, was significantly cheaper than Instacart for grocery delivery, probably because they were trying to fight their way into the grocery delivery market. Now that they're just going to buy Instacart, this can only mean higher prices to me since they need to pay for their acquisition and they no longer need to compete on price. Great!

> No single company can be specialised in everything

A machine with infinite attention and infinite knowledge probably could specialize in everything.

I think there's some real truth in this. OAI can build their Jalapeño chip because they have become experts in CUDA and have strong opinions on how the hardware should work for their models, but will have a much harder time building a quant trading firm without knowing what's a profitable trading strategy.

What does AGI actually mean to you?

Does it mean 'exactly human level capabilities in all aspects that a human can perform'? Because I agree with you on that point - no one really wants it, either. We already have several billion computers in the world requiring a low power requirement, and fairly easily reproducible, that can do that.

Does it mean 'smarter than a human on most tasks'? I'm pretty sure Opus 5.5 has crossed that line fairly definitively.

Does it mean 'smarter than a human on all tasks'? I think it's doubtful we'll ever get there with LLMs which are trained on human-derived data. I also generally think this is "ASI".

> For people like me, this is just yet one more way LLMs are making my life materially worse.

I wonder if we start to hit a point where the pace that exploits are found and deployed increases faster than they get repaired, because there is a natural higher risk appetite for the bad actors, whereas the good actors still require careful thought and prudence. As a result of this, would the internet/digital economy largely seize up and crash? That would be bad, especially for a lot of people on this site. Maybe this leads to a regression in convenience, but requires more in-person interaction in order to function in society. You can already see this pattern today emerging in higher education. Maybe, in a deeper way, this improves humanity?

Yes, we should.

I am noticing the same thing at work, in software development. First, it's a lot of "Holy crap, Fable just saved us 10% of RAM usage across all our apps!", then it's becomes "we're not looking for as many junior developers", and soon it will be "no one really knows what this code does, except for the AI".

I can't call AI "AI" without being termed an "enemy" by the President.

> besides taking away my job

> self driving cars launched in my area

It sounds like the transformation would be a massive collapse of the economy with scores of people unemployed.

> Or it will take control, "optimize humanity survival chance" and realize we don't need as many people on this planet.

Maybe, but more likely it will be the humans who control the AIs and hold the power who will make this decision.

Why even bother when an AI is just going to do it better than you can? They have more money, more compute, and most importantly, will have next to zero cost of labor.

The IRA committed $400 billion and was the biggest piece of clean energy legislation ever made, and yet the Democrats were swept out of power 2 years later.

The current party which holds 3 of 3 branches of the government that would be responsible for prosecuting such a crime is entirely behind the idea that climate change is a hoax.

You sound like I sounded in 2021 but for software, and robots (will) have LLMs/RSI to make them advance even faster. It probably even starts like software where I can buy a home repair assistant to do basic repairs or maintenance, but that advanced to the point where it could source and renovate an entire room. I don’t doubt that white-collar work will be obsolete before blue-collar, but 50-100 years feels way off. I’d say 15-20.

And sell them to... ?