fungizid

Joined 9 years ago

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Dec 22

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The steep increase at the end mostly does not reflect a change in economic fundamentals but rather banks relabeling savings accounts as transaction accounts in response to regulatory changes. If you look at M2 instead of M1, the increase disappears.

More info: https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2021/05/savings-are-now-more...

(Edit: Updated link to a more recent blog post)

Comment · 5 years ago

With a fixed exchange rate, the choice of currency does not matter for Benford’s law.

Benfords’s law states that for many real-life numbers x, log(x) is uniform.

Converting to another currency using exchange rate E, so that y = E*x, yields log(y) = log(E) + log(x). This corresponds to a shift of the distribution of log(x) and does not change how uniform the distribution is.

However, if the exchange rate varies with prices, then it will matter.

Comment · 6 years ago

I had a wrong understanding of what Encrypted SNI does and does not do. Thank you for the response.

Comment · 6 years ago

But such an attacker would need to know that the content was downloaded from the Tarsnap website, right? If TLS is configured with Encrypted SNI, the handshake no longer reveals server information and thereby TLS does add privacy.

(However, Encrypted SNI is not widely adopted yet.)

Comment · 6 years ago

Apple has changed the design of FaceTime in response to the case. Why are they not opening it up now?

> Apple decided to redesign how it did FaceTime on a technical level as a way to bypass the patents (in essence, it stopped using an IP address as final authorization when creating a VPN between two devices and instead uses a push token, certificate and session token).

https://www.theregister.com/2019/11/25/apple_facetime_patent...

Comment · 6 years ago

Thank you. Public predictions tied to an identity are useful, good job on getting it right!

Comment · 9 years ago

Sounds interesting, I will take you up on the offer!

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