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Betting markets can be good predictors but I think what poly market is reflective of is not people who are looking for the optimal bet; but wish casting of crypto bros.

In the most bad faith way possible. They are going to get absolutely gutted on this.

They think they’re above the fray, but there’s a reason Google and Meta are taking DMA way more seriously than GDPR - it’s basically a speedboat loaded with explosives in regulatory terms.

It’s designed to move fast and take out targets with extreme prejudice. It is crafted to explicitly overcome the barriers that prevent GDPR being enforced (eg Ireland).

Apple is fucking around with the EU, and will very shortly find out why the DMA is written the way it is.

Great fingerprinting vector. Expect nothing less from Google.

On the flip side, Vision Pro has no apps and it may not be the biggest reason for its failure, but it’s a contributor that I don’t see changing.

Apple’s main source of innovation is applying mafia tactics to software distribution.

Maybe, maybe not - but are they on more solid footing than Intel? Undoubtedly.

Yeah. If you solve accessibility you generally solve SEO as a byproduct. Mainly because accessible sites are easy for machines to parse.

In my experience as a published academic author all the LLM will make up all kinds of plausible papers I “wrote” that don’t exist, academic positions I’ve never held, and the like.

Even if you give it a paper directly I’d not believe it to be reliable. Maybe it could help search for papers, but that’s it.

Just focus on accessibility and standards.

Very small team, only still exists because they are a rounding error to the CFO on the balance sheet, but otherwise they could go at any time.

Oddly their biggest strength is being irrelevant to the decision makers, if the bean counters noticed the few million they are losing on running Scholar there will be ads + Gemini all over it.

The beatings will continue until moral improves.

I’ve been thinking a lot lately about how an LLM trained in really high quality code would perform.

I’m far from impressed with the output of GPT/Claude, all they’ve done is weight against stack overflow - which is still low quality code relative to Google.

What is probability Google makes this a real product, or is it too likely to autocomplete trade secrets?

It’s a major security/privacy issue, you don’t want to tell world+dog all registered users, especially since that’s typically an email address.

Huge, huge, massive “no no”.

Likewise you still have to do sever side validation as any client side code can be modified, or you can just send payloads directly to the server. IMHO client side form validation is dangerous as it gives a false sense of security.