est31
Joined 7 years ago
Joined 7 years ago
Of course the Rust language doesn't give you tools to prove that the program is bug-free or such. The proofs only extend to a basic set of properties, but there is a proof system in Rust.
As for other ML languages, they aren't really C/C++ competitors performance wise, Rust is.
I think Rust's success in the AI space shows how useful formal proofs are, as Rust provides something very similar to that. Both because it helps with the understanding of LLMs, as well as with trusting the LLMs are not violating any basic properties (like please no nasal demons if the user sends a buffer larger than the allowed amount).
Now I prompt LLMs all day for my job and it is much different. Yes, AI allows me to write way more than in the pre-AI age, but it is certainly fun in a different way, not the kind of IKEA-assembly fun.
I've done multiple life choices, away from AI, believing it to be a hype, but this hype is still growing, still not dying.
Both in 2019, as well as in 2023, i.e. not 2 or 3 months ago.
The economy of the future will be about yachts, supercars, hermes bags, private air travel and ozempic. Not about how you made it possible for everyone to watch a gigantic library of videos for free, or how you made cars affordable for everyone.
It is already a quite smooth experience, but there is work to make it even easier than that.
I work on Lakebase, opinions my own.
There is no inherent property to those model makers that they will capture the value of the AI boom. The model companies have a lot of competition from chinese models. Of course the US government will likely still keep some model makers alive (just alone for DOD supply chain reasons), but the chinese models will certainly compress margins.
It might as well be a chipmaker, a power company or a cobalt mining company.
Ultimately, it's up to the US government to decide if OpenAI can capture the value provided by AI: if chinese models get banned from the F500, then maybe one of america's famous duopolies can establish themselves.
But this hinges on congress mostly to pass certain laws to put OpenAI into that position. But which value does congress have? If OpenAI is owned by a bunch of Forbes 400 people like right now, then of course those will lobby the hell out of congress and ensure their stakes in OpenAI make them extremely rich.
But Norway doesn't have that access to lawmakers, they would see it as external influence by an alien power. They can certainly benefit from this trend though by being a shareholder.
To give a concrete example of the US government making life hard for foreign investors, take the T-mobile and sprint merger. T-mobile is majority owned by Deutsche Telekom AG, whose biggest shareholder are various institutions of the german federal government.
In this case, the US government just had to _approve_ the purchase, something very standard that happens all the time, but they still dragged that approval out as long as possible, even though Germany is a fellow NATO country.
> RWE U.S. Offshore secured these leases from the U.S. government with a long-term commitment to develop offshore wind capacity in American waters and invested more than $1 billion toward the leases and the development of these projects. These leases provided legal rights to develop offshore projects and represented years of planning, investment, and partnership with federal agencies.
> After careful consideration, it was determined there is no path forward to permit these projects in the U.S. for the foreseeable future. The settlement resolves RWE U.S. Offshore’s legal claims and provides $1.22 billion in settlement funds.
https://www.rwe.com/en/investor-relations/financial-calendar...
But yeah, most problems in physics, chemistry or biology require labs on top of actual hard thinking. You need to be able to design experiments in a certain way. Once you have the funding, the right tools, the right people to use those tools, then you can use LLMs to increase the speed of the calculations and so on.
There have been other discoveries though by deepmind: https://deepmind.google/blog/millions-of-new-materials-disco...
The German car industry will not die completely, as the EU can protect its market from chinese manufacturers through regulation. But it will shrink and transform. Probably also back to fossil fuels (yuck), because there the Germans still have a lead (they are trailing with EVs).
Germany's new hot industry is defense technology.
There are gazillions of candy crush remakes, but Royal Match, launched in 2021, still made it to the top in revenue. It was not thanks to some existing monopolist pushing it, but thanks to a) ginormous marketing budget and b) relentless execution and experience of making mobile games before, i.e. you know what works, what doesn't, how to extract maximum amount of revenue, etc.
https://naavik.co/digest/royal-match-finding-success-through...
https://naavik.co/digest/why-dream-games-success-is-a-challe...
Startups are taking longer and longer to reach public markets, so more and more value creation requires you to be a family office, angel, or hedge fund.
Same name on libera.chat and OTFC