enopod_
Joined 3 years ago
Joined 3 years ago
SpaceX is an entirely unique thing, I don't really know what to think of it. I don't see a viable business model there, but I might be wrong. Maybe there is trillions to make in space. Their targets are long shots, but meanwhile they are bleeding money on all their ventures and they ride on the AI wave. The IPO was fairly recent and it might still just implode one day.
All the mayor AI players have to rent/buy a lot of computing power to serve their customers. We're talking costs of 2-5x (or 10x? does anyone actually know?) their revenue. The question is, will they ever be able to pay their cost of revenue and operating expenses? Many people doubt. And we know that they do all sorts of funny book keeping shenanigans like SPVs and delayed deprecation.
What comes on top is, LLMs have no economy of scale. More customers scale linear with higher costs. Will people or companies be willing to pay 5x what they're paying now? Will future frontier models become more cost efficient or less? We simply don't know yet. At this point, it's a gamble.
Russias attitude towards Ukraine has turned borderline genocidal since the start of this war.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_the_Historical_Unity_of_Rus...
Trumps stupid war on Iran on the other hand is really just some air strikes, and Iran can win by just not losing, which is easy, because the US will not invade.