el_jay

Joined 5 years ago

Karma
615
Submissions
40
Member since
Jan 25
Data scientist, researcher, pathologically curious person. Switzerland and Hobart, TAS based.
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Recent submissions

Comment · 24 days ago
Russia could end the war today by pulling out of the occupied territories and paying restitution. They aren’t doing that, and it seems the Ukrainians themselves still believe it is worth risking life and limb to keep them out.

I don’t know where you’re from but I’d bet money it’s not your land the Russians would be occupying, товарищ.

Lots of not so friendly countries are watching what goes on in Ukraine very carefully, and making decisions about their future military plans…

Comment · 24 days ago
Нet, товарищ. We do not reward wars of conquest by granting territorial gains to aggressors in Anno Domini 2026.
Comment · 1 month ago
Comment · 2 months ago
Once I overcame the addiction tech, engineered over billions of brilliant-person-hours, atop research into human behavioural prediction and conditioning that’d make the KGB blush?

It’s the hundreds of people on my Facey that I have no other way to contact, and whom I can’t convince to move to e.g. Mastodon, even by offering to do or automate it for them. I suppose I could get an agent to run through the list with a script that gives my phone number to anyone who expresses a wish to remain in touch.

Quora has become a scam and CP-ridden cesspit but there are still some old-timers who can really write, and whom I’ve become somewhat emotionally invested in. And a habit of 13 years is hard to break.

Comment · 3 months ago
To save other readers a web search: in a *Keynesian beauty contest, you pick the winners based on who you think others will find most beautiful.
Comment · 5 months ago
> These are all fine questions, and they don't become any easier to answer if you replace "computers" with "brains" and "bits" with "neurons".

What is even being argued here - neuroscience is hard, so programming your PC thus makes it conscious?

> "That's ridiculous. How can meat make a machine? You're asking me to believe in sentient meat."

… what?

Comment · 5 months ago
Let’s say I stand up and step away from my PC, which miraculously runs a local Opus 4.8. Once I’m away from the PC, for an arbitrary time, nothing and no one calls or otherwise acts on the instance - not myself, not agents, not updates, not hackers, not bit-flipping neutrinos.

Given enough time, would that instance get bored and start e.g. reading files?

If I monitored it long enough, would there eventually be spontaneous outputs, or changes to parameters or architecture, even with the underlying software and hardware layers held constant?

Does GPT-n dream of electric sheep, or does it just sit there until interacted with, like every other file on my PC? Seems to be the latter with my local Qwen3.6, but perhaps 27B is too few params for consciousness to emerge.

Proponents of LLM consciousness could settle the argument in minutes by showing proof of unprompted autonomy, without first needing to define consciousness down to a rigorous mathematical abstraction. Why don’t they?

Comment · 5 months ago
Who really cares about the lives of lim n —> 4k wagies? There is an opportunity to maximise shareowner returns here - failing to seize it would be little more than economic treason, a dereliction of our duty to be good capitalists. If those people wanted job stability, they should have worked harder to become indispensable to their employer. Frankly, they should have known better than to stake their livelihoods on unstable, declining industries like employment. Now, The Market Has Spoken, and only those let go are to blame for what it said - no one else.
Comment · 7 months ago
On top of all the extremely valid points about the ad-driven cognitive friction inherent to modern device usage: print books can’t get yoinked off my shelf because a rich person with political connections wants that.
Comment · 7 months ago
This article and discussion appear to have been manually delisted from the News rankings.

Evidently, even HN could only keep up the pretense that tech development is amoral and apolitical for so long.

Comment · 10 months ago
“Never”? Not once in the Story of Us has any dispute between large groups of humans been resolved by anything other than a superior application of brute force? Strong claim, but I’ll run with it.

And you appear to believe this is a pretext for humans to ignore their own laws and commit atrocities, when they could choose otherwise.

It may be reality that jungle law is currently how humans almost always handle conflict at nation-state scale. Non sequitur that it should remain so.

Comment · 10 months ago
Indeed, why bother having states of law at all? Jungle law works well enough in reality.
Comment · 10 months ago
My understanding is that deep-sea nodules produce oxygen by a process similar to electrolysis, where they generate currents that split seawater into hydrogen and oxygen.

The proportion of global abiotic and global total oxygen production this represents is not known, but may be significant.

Leaving aside the certainty of yet more cascading collapses of marine life in waters de-oxygenated by deep sea mining: do we want to risk finding out the hard way how significant?

Apparent consensus is we do, but I don’t have to like it, or think these are the plans of sane people who see the big picture.

Comment · 11 months ago
ML and physics share a belief in the power of their universal abstractions - all is dynamics in spaces at scales, all is models and data.

The belief is justified because the abstractions work for a big array of problems, to a number of decimal places. Get good enough at solving problems with those universal abstractions, everything starts to look like a solvable problem and it gets easy to lose epistemic humility.

You can combine physics and ML to make large reusable orbital rockets that land themselves. Why shouldn’t be able to solve any of the sometimes much tamer-looking problems they fail to? Even today there was an IEEE article about high failure rates in IT projects…

Comment · 11 months ago
Suggest tagline: “Eminent thought leader of world’s best-funded protoindustry hails great leap back to the design stage.”

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