easygenes

Please at least add "(Nix transpliled to typescript)" to the title so it's clear what we get.

Maybe they mean the compromises they're making didn't weigh out enough to be motivating over the thought of just a few more years, but if those few years might make the difference to catching an opportunity for double or more the years it's suddenly motivating enough.

In the lead-up to the Grok 4.5 release, the CEO of HuggingFace was petitioning Elon Musk to open the weights. It’s odd to me that he didn’t accept, as the model is at a similar competitive level to Muse 1.2. It would have been good PR and essentially zero risk, while getting ahead of Meta who seemed likely to go back to shipping weights soon.

Oof, even the post-mortem promising none of it is AI slop is obvious AI slop.

That’s not what this indicates. This is the biggest and most expensive to serve, and most capable open weights model yet. They’re just pricing it in line with capabilities.

Kimi also offers generous subscriptions. Subs aren’t going anywhere. Think of subs like running an insurance business. There might be some users you lose money on (ones who max out their weekly quota without fail), but they’re managed such that the average subscription turns a healthy profit. There’s never been subsidies in model serving, inference is just cheaper in terms of ops TCO than people assume, and API margins are very high.

Was fun to see their developers make nods to Le Chaton Fat in the announcements for this on Twitter.

I suspect a true "big new general-purpose" model is around the corner from them, whether or not they were in on Le Chaton Fat for real. They've mentioned it after the media circus. Hopefully more creatively named than just "Large 4".

I'm a heavy enough user that I have both the OAI and Anth $200 plans. I always use at least 50% of my weekly Opus quota at Extra setting (meaning I use double the limit of the $100 plan, at minimum). Max I rarely touch because it is twice as slow and the incremental capability gain is minimal. Usually if Opus can't sort something well at Extra, the answer isn't to use Max but to hand the issue off to GPT-5.5 at XHigh.

There are. If the kernels are nondeterministic (e.g. timing issues) there are minor changes between runs, on a single system, even with eager decode enabled (typically what temperature=0 achieves).

This is a strange one. We know the hardware capabilities of Cerebras force them to do aggressive REAP pruning to serve Kimi K2.6. Meaning that about 750B parameters is the upper limit of what they can serve economically. Not sure if this means Sol is smaller than anyone thinks or that they're just going to charge so much that a very inefficient serving regime is feasible.

M5 Ultra will ship before end of year, likely. Though with current RAM shortage, likely max spec will be 256GB and in short supply.

In late 2027 or early 2028, Nvidia will release Vera Rubin DGX Spark, likely with double or better the performance of current Blackwell, though unclear if memory capacity will go up much from current 128GB. Two to four of those will run models like this decently.

In 2028 we should expect Vera Rubin RTX discrete lineup, including the replacement to the RTX PRO 6000. Likely memory spec will be minimum 128GB. Good chance of up to 200GB. Two to four of those will run NVFP4 models in this class very well.

The Wired headline reframes the issue in a way that’s misleading. SK Telecom was a previously resolved issue (as in prior to Fable launch).

It may have been a contributing factor, but the crux of the shutdown was the industry reporting of Fable jailbreaks (reportedly spearheaded by Amazon CEO Andy Jassy). The more interesting and honest angle is that the industry which has taken the seriousness of Glasswing at face value felt blindsided by Fable release and totally exposed by the residual risk, when they know they still have a months-long bugfixing backlog exposed by Glasswing and are desperate to buy more time.

This misleading looks deliberate on Wired’s part, to appear as though they’re getting a scoop when they’re really just being dishonest. Shameful.

This headline is not what I would read from this. The numbers are more favorable than the general tone of rumors, and point towards the expected shape of a fast-growing R&D heavy business.