dsizzle

Not sure if you're joking, but the only such evidence I could think of would be something like finding some way to influence the hardware of our simulation and seeing a glitch in our world

I think a lot of the difference is due to different groups/lead figures/experts focusing on different concerns, e.g. people like Paul Ehrlich and environmental groups focused on ecological sustainability vs people like Elon Musk and governments focused on economic sustainability

My first thought was that the article was redacted lol

If you take a loan against your larger capital pool, inflation helps you (to the extent it wasn't incorporated in higher lending costs).

But yeah that's a second order effect. There aren't really any scenarios where you have a fixed nominal tax that can be deferred without locking up the money, so I think you're mostly right that it comes back to lower tax rate and step-up.

Yes, and when you do pay it's a lower "real" tax (due to inflation)

Yes, I came here to say this sounds a lot like Strunk & White

fwiw the substack app did this to me too

Jassy suspects AI will reduce jobs:

> As we roll out more Generative AI and agents, it should change the way our work is done. We will need fewer people doing some of the jobs that are being done today, and more people doing other types of jobs. It’s hard to know exactly where this nets out over time, but in the next few years, we expect that this will reduce our total corporate workforce as we get efficiency gains from using AI extensively across the company.

It's also bad because of the time value of money (deductions in the future are worth less than deductions now).

But I agree that much of the outrage seems due to a confusion that 80% of the deduction is lost completely (vs deferred).

Not sure what you mean - both the "Explore" part and the Life List both have the pics and the calls together?

It is indeed a good app, but my beef is how bad it is at adding birds to your life list. After ID'ing a bird by sound or picture it'll ask you where/when you found it with the worst defaults -- it'll know where you are and what time it is, but it sometimes randomly picks some time/place you've been at months ago (even ignoring that you may have just entered several at your current location)!

More like he says the affirmations result in stock market premonitions. For example, he said after his "I will get rich in the stock market" manifestation he woke up in the middle of the night thinking "buy Chrysler" before it went on a rally.

This guy always finds a way to claim victory for his AI pessimism. In a few years: "AI's Nobel Prizes aren't even in the top 10, just like I predicted"

I just asked Claude what would happen if the Earth rotated in the opposite direction, and it correctly told me the sun would rise in the West, which is indistinguishable from an answer by someone who understands the way the Universe works.

I don't understand why this article is #1 currently

Can you summarize what kind of responses you get? I'd like to believe I'd quickly figure out this too-on-the-nose response wasn't serious and it'd lead to a laugh and more interesting discussion