diognesofsinope

Joined 5 years ago

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225
Submissions
50
Member since
Jul 19
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Recent submissions

Comment · 1 year ago
> you quickly run out of blood to write in and start writing in "well that could've been worse if the starts had aligned, let's write a rule about it".

I'm also convinced this is a primary driver of "emergency/urgency culture".

Everything is hyped as an emergency to justify bureaucratic meetings/rule writing

Comment · 1 year ago
There was an article on Bloomberg or WSJ that said the Director in the acquisition had a Teams chat where she said "sometimes you don't need to do due diligence at all" lol
Comment · 1 year ago
> "we've implemented all best practices, contracted out the hard parts to world-renowned experts, and had third party audits to verify that - there was nothing more we could do, therefore it's not our fault"

The amount of (useless) processes/systems at banks I've seen in my career that boil down to this is incredible, e.g. hundreds of millions spent on call center tech for authentication that might do nothing, but the vendor is "industry-leading" and "best in-class".

> It's just that understanding this explains a lot of paradoxes of cybersecurity as a field. It all makes much more sense when you realize it's primarily about liability management, not about hat-wearing hackers fighting other hackers with differently colored hats.

Bingo. The same situation for most risk departments at banks or healthcare fraud and insurance companies.

I thought risk at a bank was going to be savvy quants, but it's literally lawyers/compliance/box-checking marketing themselves as more sophisticated than they are. Like the KYC review for products never actually follow up and check if the KYC process in the new products works. There's no analytics, tracking, etc. until audit/regulators come in an ask, "our best-in-class vendor handles this". All the systems are implemented incorrectly, but it doesn't matter because the system is built by a vendor and implemented by consultants, and they hold the liability (they don't, but it will take ~5 years in court to get to that point).

Beginning to understand what "bureaucracy" mechanically is.

Comment · 2 years ago
Vegas and prediction markets consistently had Trump as the favorites.

Polling companies are in the business of media deals and government contracts. They will develop methodology and reporting to that end and the money is in "a close and contested race", even if it won't be.

Comment · 3 years ago
This is what it feels like -- board is filled with academics concerned about AI security.
Comment · 3 years ago
Almost more of a "takeover" by the board after it's successful lol
Comment · 3 years ago
If any level of government funds your institution you should have to releases the data.

The code I write is not my code, it's the banks.

Comment · 3 years ago
Comment · 3 years ago
It's much more of a financial intelligence collection operation.

The intelligence community has access to information about every transaction with greater than $10k (lower thresholds for monetary instruments) with at least one party of the transaction identified for over 25 years.

People also miss the fact that FIU operations also often include 314(a)/(b) letters (subpoenas for financial information on specific individuals) alongside their AML operations. Same for OFAC Sanctions monitoring (obvious example is Russian customers and assets).

Comment · 3 years ago
I think the answer is simpler: people care about their careers and their family first. Think, "If the data says something that gets in the way of my career well I don't care about the data."

Had the same problem when I was an economics researcher -- publication bias for what stakeholders want to hear (often the government) is rampant because that's where funding for the economics department mostly comes from.

Comment · 4 years ago
I mean, the failure of a lot of experiments to replicate is extraordinarily well documented...

Not to mention the corollaries from the Wikipedia article (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Why_Most_Published_Research_Fi...):

"In addition to the main result, Ioannidis lists six corollaries for factors that can influence the reliability of published research.

Research findings in a scientific field are less likely to be true,

1. the smaller the studies conducted.

2. the smaller the effect sizes.

3. the greater the number and the lesser the selection of tested relationships.

4. the greater the flexibility in designs, definitions, outcomes, and analytical modes.

5. the greater the financial and other interests and prejudices.

6. the hotter the scientific field (with more scientific teams involved)."

These are all reasonable criticisms from my own area of expertise: applied econometrics.

Comment · 4 years ago
The primary problems arise from (1) mass education and (2) cheating.

Project-based learning can't be managed with 40:1 student teacher ratios. The best learning has always come from projects and apprenticeship/mentorship style systems, but even managing that with 3 classes with a 10:1 student teacher ratio becomes hard. This should make sense, almost all the economic evidence is that parent characteristics are hands down the largest factors in what a kid's future income will be (mentorship).

Cheating is rampant which is why take-home exams rarely exist.

The reality is the world would be far better off with 3 times as many teacher, but you can't keep teachers wages as high as they are with 3 times the supply.

Comment · 4 years ago
The field of study of occupation licensing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occupational_licensing

It's absurd to think someone needs to take a $1k 'Philosophy of Mathematics' class to teach 10th grade geometry.

Comment · 4 years ago
> In South Dakota and a number of states in the south and rural districts, yes it is another story, and it is bad.

I suspect this is because teaching is arguably the most stable job in rural areas.

Comment · 4 years ago
Half the reason to be a teacher is because half the job is having fun. Most curricula is set in stone and requirements are nationally standardized (US and Asia). You more or less get summers off (there are conferences and summer school) and there are almost no jobs where you can take ~1.5 months off every year. Teaching is also one of the few steady jobs in rural America.

I feel like most people haven't been in an actual ~5th grade classroom in a long time -- literally half of it is playing games/trying to have fun.

And Youtube, good god has the educational content on Youtube evolved in the last decade.

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