danielharan

Joined 19 years ago

Karma
1,535
Submissions
571
Member since
Jul 17
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Recent submissions

Comment · 2 years ago
It's not clear that shipping the sugar to where the cacao is, then shipping refrigerated chocolate is any better than shipping unrefrigerated cacao mass to the North where it's milled with sugar.

Especially if you look at grid emissions in all those countries. Transport uses energy, but so do milling, tempering and packaging.

Comment · 2 years ago
The chocolate has to be shipped cool, requiring more energy. That said: more and more producing countries are doing initial processing (roasting and grinding into liquor), and derivatives (powder and butter).

Processing cacao in North America means I have to pay to get rid of shell which could be brought back to farms. Hopefully one day I can buy good liquor.

Comment · 3 years ago
Comment · 3 years ago
For a lot of executives and business travelers, the alternative is flying in the night before and getting a hotel room.

A night train is a much, much better option.

Comment · 5 years ago
I learned about AI by participating in the challenge, and ended up co-founding an AI company as a result.

Netflix got more than 1 million dollar in free advertising from it, and are still getting brand value out of it today. They implemented some of the algorithms, and probably got a 10X ROI through retention alone.

As mentioned in the Quora answer, they were also able to recruit top talent - and that's much harder to put an ROI figure on.

Comment · 5 years ago
There's a genetic component - as there is for Openness, which is higher on the West than the East Coast of the US.

So, maybe ADHD types were the first to leave Europe for the Americas?

Comment · 5 years ago
You are far wiser at 19 than most founders I've met in their 40's.

Some of the best business advice I got was from pitching VCs. Even if pitching is not what you want to do now, it might be useful to open lines of communication and suss out who you may want to work with in the future.

Comment · 6 years ago
If there's a board, it may be worth it to let some members know.

Should those board members do nothing, you now know to avoid their companies in the future :)

Comment · 6 years ago
The Braille example really establishes the importance of that context for me. Thank you!
Comment · 6 years ago
I'd use a snowball, to convey the growing nature.
Comment · 6 years ago
The NY study is preliminary, not peer reviewed. The sampling strategy used over-represents people going out, and we have no information on which test was used or its accuracy.

Given antibody testing done in places like Vô, the NY results seem a bit of a stretch.

Hopefully Japan gets it together and starts testing properly, though.

Comment · 6 years ago
Comment · 6 years ago
Solar's gone down in price 80% in a decade, and is still continuing that downward trend.

Wind, both on and offshore, is also getting cheaper.

By 2030, new solar will certainly be cheaper in China than it is to operate existing coal plants.

I'm a lot more comfortable betting that mass-manufactured things get cheaper, than I am on the price of natural gas a few years or a decade out. With solar and wind going down another 50% and battery prices under $100/kWh, the economics are pretty powerful.

The politics are just as powerful; China has massive internal pressure to clean up the air (and people have been reminded of how clean it could be), and a chance at replacing the US for world leadership if it can show the way forward on climate.

Comment · 6 years ago
We shouldn't let him anchor to those numbers. More than 10k is already a catastrophe, and difficult to justify given the advance warning.

Everything in excess of that is a shocking mix of incompetence, hubris and malice - including refusing help to states whose governors aren't sufficiently deferential.

Comment · 6 years ago
Some of the things they did initially were counterproductive; isolating carriers is actually much better than sending them home to infect family. I saw figure of 75% of cases being transmitted by close contacts.

All that said, the math is brutal and you're right about things not being immediately apparent in the statistics. There's a delay for symptoms, and then another for deaths.

Unless another country epicly fubars their response, the USA should maintain its #1 spot. All the more so if states don't encourage social distancing for another week.

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