conscion

a.k.a "Actions speak louder than words"

> We might not understand particular "emergent" capabilities

The emergent capabilities are the only capabilities we care about

All government unions make no sense. You can't have fair labor bargaining when the employees are responsible for electing their own bosses.

Sports betting is the one place that "prediction markets" make the most sense. Instead of there being a house to win against, the market just skims a fee. The line is set organically by betters, not be the house targeting a profit margin, and the house has no incentive to restrict successful betters because they solely profit on flow, not losses.

I think they gloss over a major factor also. They mention:

> Distribution centres are built around motorway junctions (J24 of the M1, the Golden Triangle in the East Midlands) because that’s where road access is.

But they skip _why_ is that road access and motor junction there. It's there because the government decided building roads was something that was it's responsibility. I know this article is UK focused, but for the US if the government decided to build rails also, then they could put them in more convenient places. Instead they allow rail companies to decide which monopoly corridors the companies get to control.

The political solution is 30 year term limits for Senate and House (5 terms and 15 terms respectively). The current system lack of term limits incentivizes inaction

My guess is that they are end-to-end encrypted. And because of Facebook's scale that they're able to probabilisticly guess at what's in the encrypted messages (e.g.a message with X hash has Y probability of containing the word "shoes")

> Actual effective managers do much more

And how many managers are effective vs. only information funnels?

These are all commodity use-cases though. Google, Meta, and Anthropic already all have competing products of equivalent quality and customer pricing is being driven down aggressively.

> This is the same as Searles Chinese room. The intelligence isn’t in the clerk but the book. However the thinking is in the paper.

This feels like a misrepresentation of the "Chinese Room" thought experiment. That the "thinking" isn't the clerk nor the book; it's the entire room itself.

It's also the weakening of the dollar. If the dollar is 10% weaker, an international gold seller now needs 10% more dollars to be willing to give you their gold -- which means the "value" in dollar terms is 10% higher.