charintstr

Everyone was saying the exact same thing, that open would win and compute was overvalued, about deepseek back in 2025 ignoring that up until now open models had essentially returned to about 6-9mo behind OAI/Ant post-Deepseek moment. I think this is a dynamic frontier and open modeling a strategy that has to be pursued by China to pool their knowledge in order to keep up with the US. However, if China actually breaks ahead, then open becomes a burden rather than a strength. So I don't see this as a China better thing, just asking more "who is ahead" or not.

Are you a youngish person (<60 yrs) ? If so then this article probably isn't meant for you. This is more meant for the thousands of elderly that get subjected to needless procedures in ICU when their chances of survival are already low. I can recount them from experience of working with people who administered them. This is just the case of American medicine. And in many other countries doctors wouldn't feel pressured to do this.

I find it most likely that this export ban means only USG has access to Mythos/Fable rn. Given the reports of NSA and DoD using Mythos it's now being given a near weapons-grade status by the government.

I am at a major company that is essentially vibe coding. I’ve shipped about 100k LoC this entire half and am toward top 10% of my team. I find it likely that either

A. The code is absolute garbage and is speed for speed sake B. They’re using an internal model that is a generation beyond GPT 5.5

I say this because we’ve attempted to do something similar using the latest gen Claude models and a significantly larger team. The code is probably along the lines of millions LoC but is an absolute mess because of vibing. There’s a price you pay for speed

This is a knocking down a strawman, it’s not supposed to provide a good understanding of UBI but rather scare you that you’re going to be lonely, lazy, and helpless on it. A more nuanced article would provide counterpoints, however this is just promoting the authors opinion

Absolutely. 3:1 is only common ant absolute top tier daycares. More likely you’ll have 6:1 or 8:1. And even high quality daycares might not help children potty train which is absolutely essential if both parents are working but people want to potty train early. By age 3 kids are moving towards preschool and are more intelligent and have better self awareness and are more reward motivated. I think diaper conspiracy is honestly less likely here than structural advantages and modern life leading to later potty training

Having experience inside Metas culture, it is extremely metrics driven, sometimes without regard to side effects of optimizing a primary goal. So if someone was measuring their job performance on optimizing site-links then it’s very likely this could be happening.

China has interests at direct odds to Europe like assisting the Russians to victory in Ukraine. It also has interest to dump exports onto European markets. Regardless of whether you agree with the US, China is going to be looking out only for itself from now on.

China has already recognized that computer manufacturing is a national security concern for them. So they will continue investing in Huawei regardless of whether Nvidia sells to them or not. Huang knows this pretty well and just wants to sell to China while Nvidia is still in a prime market leader position. It makes sense from his angle to say “sanctions are useless” and “were going to be caught by China anyways, so might as well make a buck while we can.”

Huang has a strong vested financial interest in working to remove chip sanctions on China. So it’s hard to take any of his warnings seriously.

Demise is hard to justify but if climate change renders a relatively small percentage of global land unfit for dense human population and agriculture within a short period of time the results could be extraordinarily costly.

Unfortunately the levers of power are so captured that it’s likely the only way for things to change is for leadership to mess up so badly that people end up on the streets.

I'm not clear on what substance he has beyond his argument of "I'm really smart and really rich and I think I should run things" though.

Thiel pretty obviously wants to rule the world but he’s just so uncharismatic that he’ll never get anyone onboard whatever vision he has. Ultimately I think he’ll be used by whoever thinks he can advance their vision and then he’ll be discarded

If aliens have the tech to fly from solar systems away to come and conquer us we’re pretty screwed and anyone serious in government knows this