Recent submissions

Comment · 3 years ago
I believe the argument goes that you are getting molded into a dysfunctional / unnatural state under the label of sexual liberation which then makes you easier to control and influence. The former enabling the later. I could be off though, sorry if this turns out to be a derogatory summary / simplification, its not intended this way.

I am getting lost earlier so you or the parent might be able to help.

>Which should perhaps tell us something, especially given the disastrous sexual libertinism that characterized the early communist regime of the USSR.

How does that tell us the behavior by those three actors is motivated by him trying to subvert society through weaponized sexuality(to assume for arguments sake)?

Leaving out the US during McCarthy for a moment to reduce the risk of derailing, totalitarian / authoritarian regimes acting against people criticizing them (here in form of his "Mass Psychology of Fascism" in which he also criticized the communist party and later added his orgon stuff) doesnt tell me much about the author other that he isnt a good fit for such systems. Enforcing conformity is what they are all about and at the core of the dysfunctional error correction mechanism that plagues these systems.

And more confusing, how can the second part of that sentence work as a qualifier? Does that mean you would not expect him to get this treatment in the USSR since he showed ideological loyalty on this topic (again for arguments sake)? I would argue looking at the political purges at the time where even complete ideological loyalty and conformity didnt protect you from power considerations its not surprising either.

As some general feedback regarding the rest of the post, reconsidering the certainty about individual statements as well as conclusions might make the post more readable. It otherwise reads as constructing arguments for an already taken conclusion.

Comment · 3 years ago
Not familiar with his work yet, but there is some room for insight/observations below the threshold of complete explanations. The confidence into these just have to reflect that.
Comment · 3 years ago
Comment · 3 years ago
Determining who to trust with this (on what topics) seems to be an incredibly hard problem with no obvious solution. And unfortunately a lot of people either seem to delegate to those that make nice sounding promises or ignore the issues all together. Even the statement you just made could always turn out to be a "noble lie" aimed preserving personal sanity at horrible cost for others. After all, having psychological support, or being able to deal with this, says nothing about what kind of solution they would produce. In all likelihood those people to delegate to will turn out to be in large parts depressed, detached or psychopaths. So i dont see a way around verification.

Having agency in a society ( through democracy, markets, shaping narratives in discussions and many other ways) might just require adults who deal with the horrible aspects society produces in a responsible manner. Which includes not designing solutions for a false peace of mind. After all, you yourself (as in every individual) are the one responsible for the consequences you produce.

Personally i hope this might be a matter of outer alignment, as in a problem of not agreeing on shared goals that you can apply to problem solving in a coordinated manner. Which has to include the ability to verify process and outcome (which unfortunately in itself are highly safety critical) and the unwillingness to accept false but pleasant conclusions with high costs for others.

Comment · 3 years ago
Comment · 3 years ago
> Your experience is quite limited. Too limited to have a meaningful opinion on this subject frankly.

I am having quite the big problem with this getting downvoted. The poster is spot on here and this needs to be communicated. Not doing so is irresponsible. Overconfidence in this regard is extremely dangerous and there is no nicer way to say this.

You can not reasonably assume that you are able to judge something works reliably without understanding how the error cases look. Especially if these are capsuled from you and or you dont know what to look out for.

This is at the very core of why something like the post scandal was possible. People repeating the same mistake in this very thread is just really bad. The only thing worse would be not telling them this.

Comment · 3 years ago
You are describing the exact same experience people who arent programmers have with software. It usually working and being almost always problems with the user.

It also leads to the same horrible misjudgements as in the article mentioned above. If you dont know what to look for you will come to erroneous convictions by ruling out the error cases you do know.

Comment · 3 years ago
A very common problem is bugs caused by cosmic radiation if you want an example. But bugs in silicon are also not rare and really difficult to catch. You really got to stick your neck out and hope you can actually proof that through stuff like debugging with electron microscopes. Especially if it becomes an issue of responsibility between different departments. The monetary stakes make this all the more difficult.

Hardware bugs are simply capsuled better so people dont recognize them as such. Its the same mechanism at play as for people who assume software normally functions. They are also just unaware of the inner working.

Stuff is just really complicated and people should manage their expectations. I get that going from assuming to have a solid base to no such thing existing is difficult to handle but there is no sensible way around that. Not doing so gets you stuff like the article.

Comment · 3 years ago
Its a major problem with many of such issues. Some stuff is just really horrible, often even without any clear approach of how to fix it. It then gets even more problematic if people react to this by retreating into easy stories that act as mental fig leaves. Especially once these leads to clearly dysfunctional attempts to solve the issue, making the situation even worse for those effected.
Comment · 3 years ago
In case anyone is afraid of spiders, confrontation therapy does wonders. Doesnt have to be drastic, letting one set up a net in a visible area already does wonders.
Comment · 3 years ago
Its worth mentioning that there is a second perspective to this being a matter of EU/NATO vs Serbia. Aljazeera had an interesting opinion piece framing it as Kosovo getting dropped to achieve Serbian integration into the western block

https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2023/7/14/does-the-west-s...

Cant say anything about the plausibility but the references to EU sanctions against Kosovo and the former president of Kosovo being currently on trial in the Hague are interesting points.

Non opinion piece on the background https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/9/24/why-kosovos-standof...

Would be happy to hear from anyone familiar with that perspective, it was news to me. But pressuring Kosovo to play ball in the negotiations doesnt seem to be out of the question?

Comment · 3 years ago
First off, thanks for mentioning Karl Popper and the media literacy theory. Will have to look into that. I wish you the best here.

Have been thinking about the issue as well and have been drifting more and more in the direction dealing with human error / aiding human thinking by just raising the bar abit without trying to find completeness and focusing on acceptability. Fixing the stuff that should be easiest. So looking at the description of errors and and how to communicate them in a sensible way. A minimum consensus based safety focused approach with capsuled complexity seems to be the way to go.

A few perspectives you may or may not have heard of and find interesting in this context. In the spirit of capsuled complexity and accessibility with good podcasts / videos:

Example for the concept and power of capsuled complexity with the 5 level explanation series from WIRED https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=raHM3k-uR0E

You already mentioned information pollution so you might be familiar with the whole military perspective, from operations in the information environment / cognitive warfare, Diss/Miss Information and missing context, psychographic advertisement, ODAA Loop and the research coming out of IBMs Watson by Juliane Gallinas with her Ted Talk about "(General)Patton in a Box" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NOQkPNlTTBY https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-rg7uKsWlGs If things shift into a game theoretical perspective its also always worth while reminding people that even psychopaths like drinkable tap water. There is some win-win stuff.

(Air) Accident investigations and crew resource management for how to design processes dealing with human error. Mentour Pilots youtube channel or the series https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mayday_(Canadian_TV_series). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PhO-87wwLJs about https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eastern_Air_Lines_Flight_401 for example

Taiwans gov0 (zero) is an approach of consensus finding in politics. Outer alignment is also relevant here. I generally find totalitarianism (corrupt dysfunctional systems) a useful frame of mind in terms of why consensus finding has giant benefits. Joost Meerloos "Rape of the mind" has a good description of how these systems become dysfunctional. Also https://sproutsschools.com/bonhoeffers-theory-of-stupidity/ Noble lies and the problems in how to deal with them are also noteworthy here.

Hostage negotiator are a in hindsight not so surprising great source for consensus finding mechanisms and mindset. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8EguLJgkc54

Tim Urbans echo chambers vs idea spaces

You mentioned epistemology, ontology in computer science is a great counterexample for the dangers of aiming for completeness as well as Humes guillotine.

You might also like the stuff from Daniel Schmachtenberger on the sense making crisis. But i always feel always bad about recommending this since its hours and hours of videos. But from the types of information pollution to mementics to a description of the everything crisis we are in through the frame of finding a third attractor its quite valuable. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7LqaotiGWjQ

Tristan Harris might also be relevant for how technology (like social media and AI) is causing problems due to humans interacting with it. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoVJKj8lcNQ

Comment · 3 years ago
Another poster (tim333) made a great summary of the concept behind GLD (your first link) a few posts up. Those backed assets are otherwise owned and loaned against. IShares is the other one with a similar concept. You can read up on this in the context of Basel 3's net stable funding ratio and the exemption LBMA (the biggest backer of COMEX) achieved.

https://www.gold.org/goldhub/gold-focus/2021/06/basel-iii-an...

Or directly from the LBMA:

https://cdn.lbma.org.uk/downloads/Pages/NSFR-PRA-Letter-fina... https://www.lbma.org.uk/articles/pra-clearing-banks-may-now-...

This is not to say that all ETFs work this way. I believe Xetra is one example of being fully physically backed. But this naturally increases running cost due to storage. Last i checked i believe you pay in the rough region of 0.1% a year in storage cost at the reputable physical gold bullion storage sites as a large customers (tons / room). That sums up. This also explains why physical copper is not something you can easily invest in.

But again, this kind of misses the point, i would really appreciate a definition of paper differing from backed by derivatives. I think you might be onto something here, i ran into this argument a few times now so i believe i might be missing something.

I would also like to reiterate that i do not share the conclusion the initial post made about run away gold prices. I elaborated on that in the other posts.

Sorry for the late edits, had to double check the numbers.

Comment · 3 years ago
Comment · 3 years ago
Thats not necessarily the case. Somebody described the situation for GLD a bit down.

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