calmd
Joined 5 years ago
Joined 5 years ago
Does low fertility correlate with dense urban dwelling and sky high real-estate prices? I suspect it probably does, but I haven't seen any proof.
Maybe this shift to remote-first work that happened over the last 18 months will help....
If shrinking populations are okay, what is the desired population level? Right now no country seems to be able to stop this decrease in the modern/developed world. We are just currently shrinking.
This is going to cause significant economic problems quite soon, or they will have to open up massive immigration which will completely change the country.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_birth_rate_in_South_Korea
How does the developed world pull out of this type of tailspin? Japan and other nations are also facing this exact same issue and we seem to be not paying attention to it.
The core issue is that in most of the developed world, people do not have enough children. And even immigrants in their second generation and beyond also do not have enough children, as such it appears to be a cultural/way of life/society norms problem. It is as if the developed modern world is currently designed as a population sink.
This is going to be one of the grand challenges of the 50 years.
Delta surged lasted 50 days in India and 45 days in the UK. We may see something similar
That would be nice
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/04/pandemics-...
That works for a while when the employees still care but once they stop caring there is no one to steer the faltering ship.
Also the box office in general has been destroyed recently because of the pandemic. What would have likely been $+150M opening weekends and close to $1B totals revenue (or even more) are reduced to fractions of that.
EDIT: Even worse, it was actually to be released in May 2020, thus the negotiations for salary were likely done in 2017/2018 or possibly earlier. Disney+ wasn't even announced back then.
The box office is I think 50% super hero films now.
That said I think they won't...
We are not making this decision completely willingly, it is more just happening and it is out of the governments control. To me this means it is risky, and can we pull out of it? How do we pull out of this shrinkage?
I guess the good thing is that the developed world is all in this together, rather than only parts of it. That reduces the chance of massive disparities as a result of the changes it causes.
If would feel much more comfortable that we completely understood it, and how to control it.
There will be a lot of changes that will occur. For example conservatives are less effected by population shrinkage than liberals in the US -- probably just because conservatives are less likely to be city dwellers? Or maybe it is conservatives have different values... or a combination of values that effect whether they live in the cities.
Atheists have lower reproduction rates than those who are religious as well. (which probably correlates with liberalism/conservatism as well.)
I wonder if there are any genetic contributions to conservatism/religiousness? If so this may be a period of rapid genetic evolution...