c0m

I would like to test whether prediction markets are worse than they were during zero-interest land. The incentive to create sophisticated models to get low percentage points of edge is much lower today than it was before. Why risk time and effort trying to predict the 2024 election for a few pp of edge when you can… just buy a 1y tbill instead? Sure there are probably better ways to express an opinion on these types of things too. Options that favour a team red or team blue win come to mind, but no matter what you’re still competing with 5% yield.

I think this is solvable by having some kind of betting token that itself accrues interest over time to reduce the opportunity cost but if regulators already don’t like prediction markets boy they especially wouldn’t like that.

Just as calling the maintainer's offer extortion is not correct, I think it's also to call the email a threat is not correct. It's at worst entitled and slightly aggressive in the part that we saw.

It's pretty shocking that someone in the industry so long thinks that OSS maintainers owe him anything though, or that he didn't think to simply fork his own version - he must know this is an option. He's probably read the MIT license at some point in his career - has he never stopped to think about what to provide something 'as-is' means? His position suggests that he has the resources available to do a lot of things that were far less embarrassing than asking someone who owes him nothing to make his job easier.

From the IBM employee's perspective it should seem reasonable that if he's asking for specifics that take time to figure out and for answers to questions while not contributing anything to the project, that he should pay for those answers in a timely fashion for his benefit. He's treating the Github like a support page so I don't see anything wrong with the maintainer offering a support contract in response to that. It would be beneficial to both parties.

If the maintainer said "I'm not releasing this until you grant me a support contract", maybe that would be extortion. Until then, he's simply getting the service he pays for.

I've spent the last two years very successfully trading and I am interested in a career where I need to think like this. I've written a comprehensive blog on what I did in lieu of a CV, as it's more interesting and tells you more about who I am and how I think.

I'm expanding my skillset from just programming and trading to include generative AI, currently making a mentoring companion to language learning. I've got strong soft skills from years working in care. I'm seeking junior trading roles or internships, or a similar career where risk is thought about a lot.

  Location: Ireland
  Remote: No preference
  Willing to relocate: Anywhere in the world, UK + Irish citizenship
  Technologies: Python w/ Jupyter notebooks and dataviz libraries, ChatGPT, C#
  Résumé/CV: https://medium.com/@c0m/learning-the-business-of-risk-a1d69dda915a
  Email: hn [AT] omaolain [DOT] com