bormaj
Joined 3 years ago
Joined 3 years ago
If a company goes under, debt is generally higher in the asset recovery waterfall. If you own equity, you're last in line to recuperate losses. Of course not all debt is equal, but it does enable people and businesses to attempt things without needing all the cash up front.
I do wonder, would the performance characteristics of branchless vs branching be consistent across different CPUs/architectures? If you had a CPU that wasn't trying to be fancy with branch prediction, would the regular algo be faster?
I recently looked into renting an EV in Spain and instead opted for gas. It seems like the public charging infrastructure is just not all that reliable there (e.g. broken chargers + delivering less power than advertised) and fragmented when it comes to paying across many apps. Maybe this is specific to Spain after all.
Aside from that (and assuming a large enough sample size) I think it's a safe experiment to at least bet on finding profitable use cases. In 1-2 years, after this experiment runs its course, not everyone will have "unlimited" usage.
The author made compelling points regarding capex cycles and supply/demand imbalances. So how does NVDA continue to deliver these returns over the next 10 years? Are the 4 firms driving >60% of NVDA's revenue going to maintain that high capex?
All it will take is a market shock that forces just one of these companies to pivot modes from spending to cost cutting for NVDA's bottom line to see material compression. This is not to say that NVDA will disappear, but it's a very real risk that sets the stage for contagion given how coupled all this growth is.
Was an LLM really necessary to write this article? The LLM fluff glosses over a few interesting points/questions:
- Is the current claude debacle the result of compute supply that cannot match the demand? Or is it that Anthropic is being pressed to monetize its work?
- If LLM inference quality is downshifted because of those constraints, that becomes a very real problem for the end users as it effectively amounts to rug-pulling the product. It is plausible that this eventually materializes itself into the consumer/enterprise plans. E.g. paying up for "high IQ" models and not just token usage.
- As another comment here noted, this is all driving the commodification + privatization of intelligence. The competitive landscape is changing and the effectiveness of "high IQ" models and those that can afford them may very well be table stakes going forward thanks to the (manufactured?) scarcity.